{"canonicalEventFacts":null,"editorialContext":null,"weeklyMarketPattern":null,"schemaVersion":2,"schemaUrl":"https://www.derivasys.com/schemas/report-dataset-v2.schema.json","family":"altcoins","reportDate":"2026-10-09","canonicalUrl":"https://www.derivasys.com/reports/altcoins/2026-10-09","datasetUrl":"https://www.derivasys.com/data/reports/altcoins/2026-10-09/data.json","headline":"Altcoin options: AVAX’s 1w ATM IV falls more sharply than TRX’s","timestamps":{"generatedAt":"2026-10-09T17:01:49+00:00","currentSnapshotAt":"2026-10-09T16:56:00+00:00","previousSnapshotAt":"2026-10-08T16:56:00+00:00","comparisonCutoffAt":"2026-10-09T16:56:00+00:00"},"units":{"atmIv":"annualised percent","realisedVolatility":"annualised percent","rr25":"volatility points","bf25":"volatility points","change":"volatility points","return":"percent","slope":"volatility points","percentile":"percentile (0–100)","ratio":"dimensionless","forward":"USD"},"semantics":{"previousSnapshotAt":"The report baseline is the stored previous timestamp shared by every required constituent (BTC/ETH/SOL for Major Coins; XRP/HYPE/AVAX/TRX for Altcoins), compared as instants. Null means missing, invalid, mixed or incomplete constituent baselines, or a conflicting stored report baseline. Constituent timestamps remain unchanged; comparisonCutoffAt is not a substitute baseline.","relativeValueObservation":"Stored highestSpreadAsset and lowestSpreadAsset describe IV-minus-realised spread ordering, not fair value. Legacy richestAsset and cheapestAsset aliases are omitted; missing neutral fields are not inferred. Other stored observation fields retain their producer wording and values.","leadComparison":"currentSpread is selected asset A minus comparison asset B; previousSpread has the same orientation; changeSpread is currentSpread minus previousSpread. All retain their sign. The current level gap is abs(currentSpread), while daily-change dispersion is abs(changeA minus changeB). Gap change is abs(currentSpread) minus abs(previousSpread), distinct from daily-change dispersion.","pairedSkewRotation":"Both named 1W RR25 endpoints cross zero in opposite directions beyond 0.10 volatility points. current/previous are the signed first-asset-minus-second-asset spread; change is its rotation. This is distinct from unsigned level dispersion. Missing matching history remains null.","crossMetricJointEvent":"Complete aligned historical spot/ATM/RR25/BF25 vectors provide descriptive direction-pattern and simultaneous magnitude-exceedance episode counts. At least 20 eligible historical vectors are required. No joint rarity percentile is estimated; causality is not assessed.","jointComparisons":"Spot/ATM, ATM/RR25 and spot/ATM/RR25/BF25 comparisons each retain their own frozen complete-vector history, source receipt and descriptive counts. Their denominators are independent; marginal percentiles are not combined.","termStructureRegimeChange":"1M minus 1W ATM IV slope. Version 2 separates technical crossings from material changes requiring opposite endpoints beyond the provisional ±0.5 point deadband. A genuine crossing requires strictly opposite nonzero signs; an exactly zero endpoint is a zero touch. Historical rarity requires at least 20 compatible prior observations.","marketWideEvent":"Canonical seven-asset daily observation with aligned source receipts, spot breadth and compatible prior history. This is dated report context, not a current live market snapshot.","comparisons":"Leader and laggard are the highest and lowest signed values; spread is highest minus lowest, a non-negative cross-sectional range. Changes retain their sign.","termStructure":"1Y minus 1W ATM IV; slopeChange is current slope minus previous slope.","rankingOrder":"Stored producer order; previousRank and rankChange remain null when unavailable. Positive rankChange means moving up the ranking.","rankingBasis":{"oneWeekAtmIvLevel":"descending signed value","oneWeekAtmIvChange":"descending signed value","oneWeekAtmIvAbsoluteMove":"descending absolute magnitude; values retain their sign","ivMinusRealised7d":"descending signed value","oneWeekRr25CallRichness":"descending signed value","oneWeekRr25PutRichness":"ascending signed value","termStructureSlope":"descending signed value","termStructureSlopeChange":"descending absolute magnitude; values retain their sign","spotPerformance24h":"descending signed value"},"outliers":"Stored distanceFromMedian is signed value minus groupMedian; outlier selection uses absolute distance.","unavailable":"Null means unavailable, never zero; absent stored analysis is not reconstructed.","csv":"One scalar per row, with section, metric, asset and JSON pointer; value_type distinguishes null from empty string. Numeric serialization preserves stored precision."},"provenance":{"source":"Published report and its stored constituent observations","storedHeadline":"Altcoin options: AVAX’s 1w ATM IV falls more sharply than TRX’s","reportCorrection":null,"constituents":null,"methodology":{"source":"Stored Derivasys SVI surfaces","comparison":"Latest successful snapshot at or before the common cutoff versus the nearest successful snapshot 24 hours earlier, within a three-hour tolerance.","availability":"Current levels remain visible when a 24-hour baseline does not yet exist; changes stay null rather than being inferred from a shorter window."},"summaryMetrics":{"basis":"Equal-weight average across assets with a valid 24-hour baseline","unit":"volatility points","atmIvChange":-3.3,"rr25Change":-0.02,"bf25Change":0.15}},"leadSignal":{"status":"declared","declaredEvidence":{"asset":"AVAX","metric":"atmIv","eventType":"atmIv","label":"1W","current":72.86,"previous":78.42,"change":-5.56,"currentSnapshotAt":"2026-10-09T16:56:00+00:00","previousSnapshotAt":"2026-10-08T16:56:00+00:00","evidenceRef":"crossAssetAnalysis.evidence[alts-cross-1w-atm-change-dispersion]","provenance":{"kind":"comparative-constituent-measurement","candidateId":"alts-cross-1w-atm-change-dispersion","candidateSource":"crossAssetAnalysis.evidence[alts-cross-1w-atm-change-dispersion]","eventRef":null,"valuesRef":"rows[asset=AVAX].tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv"},"comparison":{"asset":"TRX","current":18.96,"previous":20.2,"currentSpread":53.9,"previousSpread":58.22,"changeSpread":-4.32},"comparisonScope":"rangeEndpoints","comparisonLabel":"Range endpoints; other assets omitted"},"validatedDisplay":{"opening":"The 1W ATM implied-volatility signed spread (AVAX minus TRX) is +53.90 vol points, a change of -4.32 vol points between the stored surface endpoints. This chart shows the selected range endpoints; it does not show every constituent. The absolute current level gap is 53.90 vol points. The daily-change dispersion is 4.32 vol points (AVAX -5.56 versus TRX -1.24 vol points).","readings":["AVAX 1W ATM IV 72.86% · Δ -5.56 vol pts","TRX 1W ATM IV 18.96% · Δ -1.24 vol pts","AVAX minus TRX: signed spread +53.90 vol pts · spread Δ -4.32 vol pts","Comparison scope: selected range endpoints.","Absolute current level gap: 53.90 vol pts","Daily-change dispersion: 4.32 vol pts"],"cutoff":"9 Oct 2026, 16:56 UTC","rarity":[]},"comparativeEvidence":[{"id":"alts-cross-1w-atm-change-dispersion","metric":"1W ATM IV change dispersion","unit":"volatility points","leader":"TRX","laggard":"AVAX","highest":-1.24,"lowest":-5.56,"spread":4.32,"highestToLowestRatio":null,"largestAbsoluteMoveAsset":"AVAX","largestAbsoluteMoveValue":-5.56,"values":[{"asset":"XRP","value":-3.76},{"asset":"HYPE","value":-2.64},{"asset":"AVAX","value":-5.56},{"asset":"TRX","value":-1.24}]},{"id":"alts-cross-1w-atm-level-dispersion","metric":"1W ATM IV level dispersion","unit":"volatility points","leader":"AVAX","laggard":"TRX","highest":72.86,"lowest":18.96,"spread":53.9,"highestToLowestRatio":3.8428,"largestAbsoluteMoveAsset":"AVAX","largestAbsoluteMoveValue":72.86,"values":[{"asset":"XRP","value":51.57},{"asset":"HYPE","value":55.1},{"asset":"AVAX","value":72.86},{"asset":"TRX","value":18.96}],"previousSpread":58.22,"spreadChange":-4.32,"dispersionDirection":"compressing"},{"id":"alts-cross-1w-rr25-dispersion","metric":"1W RR25 level dispersion","unit":"volatility points","leader":"AVAX","laggard":"XRP","highest":3.07,"lowest":-0.29,"spread":3.36,"highestToLowestRatio":null,"largestAbsoluteMoveAsset":"AVAX","largestAbsoluteMoveValue":3.07,"values":[{"asset":"XRP","value":-0.29},{"asset":"HYPE","value":0.97},{"asset":"AVAX","value":3.07},{"asset":"TRX","value":1.26}],"previousSpread":3.71,"spreadChange":-0.35,"dispersionDirection":"compressing"},{"id":"alts-cross-term-structure-divergence","metric":"1Y minus 1W ATM IV slope dispersion","unit":"volatility points","leader":null,"laggard":null,"highest":null,"lowest":null,"spread":null,"highestToLowestRatio":null,"largestAbsoluteMoveAsset":null,"largestAbsoluteMoveValue":null,"values":[{"asset":"XRP","value":null},{"asset":"HYPE","value":null},{"asset":"AVAX","value":null},{"asset":"TRX","value":null}],"previousSpread":null,"spreadChange":null,"dispersionDirection":"unavailable"},{"id":"alts-cross-iv-minus-realised-dispersion","metric":"1W IV minus 7D realised volatility dispersion","unit":"volatility points","leader":"TRX","laggard":"AVAX","highest":6.4,"lowest":-3.59,"spread":9.99,"highestToLowestRatio":null,"largestAbsoluteMoveAsset":"TRX","largestAbsoluteMoveValue":6.4,"values":[{"asset":"XRP","value":1.07},{"asset":"HYPE","value":-1.99},{"asset":"AVAX","value":-3.59},{"asset":"TRX","value":6.4}]},{"id":"alts-cross-spot-performance","metric":"24H spot performance dispersion","unit":"percentage points","leader":"XRP","laggard":"TRX","highest":2.97,"lowest":-0.24,"spread":3.21,"highestToLowestRatio":null,"largestAbsoluteMoveAsset":"XRP","largestAbsoluteMoveValue":2.97,"values":[{"asset":"XRP","value":2.97},{"asset":"HYPE","value":1.63},{"asset":"AVAX","value":2.6},{"asset":"TRX","value":-0.24}]},{"id":"alts-cross-term-structure-change","metric":"1Y minus 1W ATM IV slope change dispersion","unit":"volatility points","leader":null,"laggard":null,"highest":null,"lowest":null,"spread":null,"highestToLowestRatio":null,"largestAbsoluteMoveAsset":null,"largestAbsoluteMoveValue":null,"values":[{"asset":"XRP","value":null},{"asset":"HYPE","value":null},{"asset":"AVAX","value":null},{"asset":"TRX","value":null}]}],"candidateId":"alts-cross-1w-atm-change-dispersion","historicalContext":{"status":"available","observationKind":"level","basis":"prior aligned same-asset same-cadence cross-sectional ranges; 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