01 · Executive summary
What changed across the BTC volatility surface.
Front-end ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots.
Long-dated ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots.
RR25 is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots.
BF25 is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots.
The largest standard-tenor ATM IV change is unavailable.
Universe roll: added 15MAY26, 27APR26, 31JUL26; removed 23APR26. Comparisons use common expiries only.
02 · Standard-tenor ranking
Largest surface events
Largest eligible smile rotation
1MAY26, -3.77 vol ptsLargest eligible SVI sigma move
8MAY26, +0.2844 paramLargest eligible SVI rho move
25DEC26, +0.1216 param03 · ATM volatility
Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.
Chart unavailable because fewer than two fixed tenors have reliable observations at both snapshots.
| Tenor | Current (vol %) | Previous (vol %) | Change (vol pts) | Relative change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1W | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 2W | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 1M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 3M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 6M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 9M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 1Y | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
04 · Risk reversals
RR25 skew moved most at the displayed tenors.
RR25 is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.
Chart unavailable because fewer than two fixed tenors have reliable observations at both snapshots.
| Tenor | Current (vol %) | Previous (vol %) | Change (vol pts) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1W | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 2W | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 1M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 3M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 6M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 9M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 1Y | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
05 · Butterflies
BF25 convexity changed most at the displayed tenors.
BF25 is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.
Chart unavailable because fewer than two fixed tenors have reliable observations at both snapshots.
| Tenor | Current (vol %) | Previous (vol %) | Change (vol pts) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1W | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 2W | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 1M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 3M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 6M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 9M | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
| 1Y | Unavailable | Unavailable | Unavailable |
06 · Expiry effects
Near-settlement moves, shown with context.
Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Smile rotation
24APR26, -6.38 vol ptsSmile rotation
25APR26, -2.32 vol pts07 · Volatility term structure
Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.
The ATM chart above is the standard-tenor term structure. The listed-expiry table below preserves the exchange maturity detail underneath those interpolated tenors.
| Expiry | Time left | Forward now (USD) | Forward change (USD) | ATM IV now | ATM IV change | RR25 change | BF25 change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24APR26Expiry effect | 0.3 days | 78,280.84 | +113.17 USD | 42.14% | +0.83 vol pts | -2.30 vol pts | -0.98 vol pts |
| 25APR26Expiry effect | 1.3 days | 78,237.28 | +85.47 USD | 39.45% | -0.97 vol pts | -0.75 vol pts | -0.63 vol pts |
| 26APR26 | 2.3 days | 78,236.5 | +70.52 USD | 33.54% | -3.52 vol pts | -0.94 vol pts | 0.00 vol pts |
| 1MAY26 | 7.3 days | 78,230.42 | +85.26 USD | 39.71% | -1.17 vol pts | -1.17 vol pts | -0.13 vol pts |
| 8MAY26 | 14.3 days | 78,243.28 | +73.73 USD | 40.03% | -0.82 vol pts | -0.74 vol pts | -0.40 vol pts |
| 29MAY26 | 35.3 days | 78,265.67 | +86.60 USD | 40.60% | -0.78 vol pts | -1.50 vol pts | +0.20 vol pts |
| 26JUN26 | 63.3 days | 78,387 | +77.18 USD | 41.09% | -0.39 vol pts | -0.84 vol pts | +0.02 vol pts |
| 25SEP26 | 154.3 days | 78,906.31 | +89.97 USD | 41.97% | -0.50 vol pts | -0.71 vol pts | +0.13 vol pts |
| 25DEC26 | 245.3 days | 79,590.55 | +64.29 USD | 43.88% | -0.53 vol pts | -0.79 vol pts | +0.05 vol pts |
| 26MAR27 | 336.3 days | 80,342.26 | +47.20 USD | 45.02% | -0.31 vol pts | -0.35 vol pts | -0.13 vol pts |
08 · Smile movement
Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.
Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.
Surface movement heatmap
Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.
09 · SVI diagnostics
Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.
Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 25DEC26; the largest sigma change occurred at 8MAY26.
| Expiry | Δ a | Δ b | Δ rho | Δ m | Δ sigma | Smile classification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24APR26 | -0.01230 | +0.00890 | +0.04780 | +0.00680 | +0.15990 | rotation towards puts, wing steepening |
| 25APR26 | -0.01340 | +0.00820 | +0.01600 | -0.00870 | +0.12590 | rotation towards puts, wing steepening |
| 26APR26 | +0.01460 | -0.01740 | +0.05720 | +0.03890 | -0.08720 | rotation towards puts, wing steepening |
| 1MAY26 | -0.03130 | +0.01490 | +0.01700 | +0.00030 | +0.11430 | rotation towards puts, wing steepening |
| 8MAY26 | -0.08470 | +0.03970 | -0.00380 | -0.03660 | +0.28440 | rotation towards puts, wing flattening |
| 29MAY26 | +0.00290 | +0.00640 | +0.00970 | +0.03370 | -0.04760 | rotation towards puts |
| 26JUN26 | -0.03480 | +0.01640 | +0.04660 | +0.06550 | +0.06230 | rotation towards puts |
| 25SEP26 | -0.01120 | +0.01250 | +0.09030 | +0.12700 | -0.03910 | rotation towards puts |
| 25DEC26 | -0.00400 | -0.00100 | +0.12160 | +0.20390 | -0.03500 | rotation towards puts |
| 26MAR27 | -0.03450 | -0.00010 | +0.11730 | +0.19210 | +0.06470 | parallel shift lower |
10 · Current surface characteristics
Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.
These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-BTC ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.
11 · Methodology and provenance
Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.
- Current snapshot
- 23 Apr 2026, 23:59 UTC
- Comparison snapshot
- 22 Apr 2026, 23:59 UTC
- Source
- Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface database
- Comparison window
- Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
- RR convention
- 25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
- BF convention
- Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
- Fixed tenors
- Fixed-tenor measures are interpolated independently at 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 9M and 1Y; headline rankings prioritise 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y.
- Smile reconstruction
- Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
- Ultra-short expiries
- Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
- Greek normalization
- Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-BTC ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
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