Daily ETH options market report · 24-hour comparison

Ether options shift toward calls as near-expiry pricing rotates

Ether’s nearest-expiry smile rotation was the largest surface dislocation, accompanied by a 2.83-point rise in Ether one-week RR25 to 1.36 volatility points. Ether one-week ATM IV rose 1.78 volatility points to 43.37%, remaining 3.46 volatility points below Ether seven-day realised volatility.

Snapshot data and comparison

Snapshot · 5 Sept 2026, 18:43 UTC

Generated timestamp:

  • ETHSpot-index 24h +1.10%1W ATM IV 43.37%1W RR25 +1.36 vol pts1W BF25 +2.42 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable

Market context · daily observation window

Market context

ETH spot-index return unavailable; 1W ATM IV rose 1.78 volatility points to 43.37% over the daily window. RR25 moved toward calls (+2.83 points); BF25 wing premium increased (+0.03 points); partial native coverage (3/4 measurements).

Previous report, watch levels and methodology

One-week surface context; the published headline retains its original evidence basis. Cutoffs 4 Sept, 18:43 UTC to 5 Sept, 18:43 UTC.

Previous publication · research context

2026-09-04: “Ether options compress as short-dated put volatility becomes richer”

Previous publication cutoff 4 Sept, 16:48 UTC. Today’s market comparison starts at 4 Sept, 18:43 UTC. Snapshot clocks differ; numerical follow-through and prior-watch outcomes are unavailable.

Previous publication JSON · SHA-256 1971491de659c021f100e56915e8efb20e1547d77a09692691d45fcbe2e14867

Measured change since prior report

Prior comparison unavailable: the published 2026-09-04 edition is verified but ends at 4 Sept, 16:48 UTC; this window requires 4 Sept, 18:43 UTC.

A structured watchlist was not recorded or could not be verified in the prior edition; prior-watch outcomes remain unavailable.

Next daily cutoff: measurable checks

These checks are reconstructed from this edition’s stored endpoints; they were not recorded in the original report.

  • Hold the observed level: ETH 1W ATM IV ≥ 43.37 percent at . Current level 43.37; threshold is the current observed endpoint.
  • Full retrace: ETH 1W ATM IV ≤ 41.59 percent at . Current level 43.37; threshold is the previous observed endpoint.
Measurement basis and receipt

These are observed-level conditions for the next aligned cutoff, with no forecast or trade action. Spot uses exact index endpoints where available; ATM IV is quoted in percent and its change, RR25 and BF25 in volatility points. Derived from verified legacy artifact endpoints.

Canonical current report JSON · SHA-256 631b83cf95b0c02f2eb43d3c40535c1cb0348c25ff86ec0b672b214fdb4109e1

Prior artifact: /v1/eth/daily/2026-09-04/1971491de659c021f100e56915e8efb20e1547d77a09692691d45fcbe2e14867.json · SHA-256 1971491de659c021f100e56915e8efb20e1547d77a09692691d45fcbe2e14867

Consumed endpoint proof: 82929b7ac74088b837e097ac626115926ca83a7aa208eabe675b7174dbb66d0c

  • ETH:atmIv:1W:observed-current-level: rows[asset=ETH].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.previous; rows[asset=ETH].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.current; rows[asset=ETH].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.change; evaluation window 2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00 to 2026-09-06T18:43:00+00:00.
  • ETH:atmIv:1W:observed-previous-level: rows[asset=ETH].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.previous; rows[asset=ETH].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.current; rows[asset=ETH].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.change; evaluation window 2026-09-05T18:43:00+00:00 to 2026-09-06T18:43:00+00:00.

02 · Options market read

What the volatility surface did.

5 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at +1.78 volatility points, to 43.37%.

Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data

03 · Catalyst check

04 Sept 2026, 18:43 UTC to 05 Sept 2026, 18:43 UTC

News context unavailable.

News context unavailable because source coverage was incomplete.

04 · Detailed analysis

What changed across the ETH volatility surface.

Implied versus realised

At the 18:43 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 43.37%, 3.46 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 46.83%; 24-hour realised volatility was 20.80% and 30-day realised volatility was 51.21%.

Front end

Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +0.87 volatility points to 46.76% across 1W, 2W and 1M.

Long end

Six-month ATM IV was broadly unchanged at 54.17% (-0.02 volatility points); 1Y was unavailable.

Skew

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +1.25 volatility points to 1.45 volatility points across the five available headline tenors.

Convexity

BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.06 volatility points to 2.79 volatility points across the five available headline tenors.

Largest standard-tenor move

The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +1.78 volatility points at 1W, to 43.37%.

Universe roll: added 9SEP26; removed 5SEP26. Comparisons use common expiries only.

05 · Standard-tenor ranking

Largest surface events

01

Largest eligible smile rotation

8SEP26, +10.22 vol pts
02

Largest standard-tenor RR25 move

1W, +2.83 vol pts
03

Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move

1W, +1.78 vol pts
04

Largest standard-tenor BF25 move

2W, +0.21 vol pts
05

Largest eligible SVI rho move

8SEP26, +0.1236 param
06

Largest eligible SVI sigma move

8SEP26, +0.1208 param

06 · ATM volatility

Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.

TenorCurrent (vol %)Comparison snapshot (vol %)Change (vol pts)Relative change
1W43.3741.59+1.78 vol pts+4.28%
2W47.4646.67+0.79 vol pts+1.69%
1M49.4649.42+0.04 vol pts+0.08%
3M52.0852.09-0.01 vol pts-0.02%
6M54.1754.19-0.02 vol pts-0.04%
9M55.3855.380.00 vol pts0.00%
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

07 · Risk reversals

RR25 skew moved most at 1W.

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +1.25 volatility points to 1.45 volatility points across the five available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.

-1.9 vol pts-0.8 vol pts0.3 vol pts1.4 vol pts2.5 vol pts1W2W1M3M6M9M
TenorCurrent (vol pts)Comparison snapshot (vol pts)Change (vol pts)
1W1.36-1.47+2.83 vol pts
2W2.090.88+1.21 vol pts
1M1.820.36+1.46 vol pts
3M1.230.83+0.40 vol pts
6M0.730.36+0.37 vol pts
9M0.920.51+0.41 vol pts
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

08 · Butterflies

BF25 convexity changed most at 2W.

BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.06 volatility points to 2.79 volatility points across the five available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.

2.2 vol pts2.4 vol pts2.7 vol pts2.9 vol pts3.2 vol pts1W2W1M3M6M9M
TenorCurrent (vol pts)Comparison snapshot (vol pts)Change (vol pts)
1W2.422.39+0.03 vol pts
2W2.932.72+0.21 vol pts
1M2.762.70+0.06 vol pts
3M2.932.97-0.04 vol pts
6M2.932.90+0.03 vol pts
9M2.662.71-0.05 vol pts
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

09 · Expiry effects

Near-settlement moves, shown with context.

Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.

0.6d

Smile rotation

6SEP26, +37.37 vol pts
1.6d

Smile rotation

7SEP26, +12.03 vol pts

10 · Volatility term structure

Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.

Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.

39.9%44.2%48.5%52.8%57.0%1W2W1M3M6M9M

Suppressed outside the observable listed-expiry range: 1Y.

ExpiryTime leftForward now (USD)Forward change (USD)ATM IV nowATM IV changeRR25 changeBF25 change
6SEP26Expiry effect0.6 days2,476.67+24.66 USD32.78%+6.96 vol pts+5.87 vol pts-0.05 vol pts
7SEP26Expiry effect1.6 days2,476.65+24.36 USD33.16%+3.30 vol pts+2.52 vol pts-0.08 vol pts
8SEP262.6 days2,476.91+24.37 USD34.08%+1.31 vol pts+2.64 vol pts-0.32 vol pts
11SEP265.6 days2,477.36+24.19 USD40.99%+0.14 vol pts+2.62 vol pts-0.38 vol pts
18SEP2612.6 days2,479.5+24.27 USD47.15%+0.63 vol pts+1.26 vol pts+0.34 vol pts
25SEP2619.6 days2,481.73+24.39 USD48.22%+0.10 vol pts+2.02 vol pts+0.18 vol pts
30OCT2654.6 days2,486.87+23.38 USD50.49%-0.20 vol pts+0.92 vol pts-0.12 vol pts
27NOV2682.6 days2,494.15+24.16 USD52.05%+0.10 vol pts+0.36 vol pts-0.18 vol pts
25DEC26110.6 days2,500.44+24.66 USD52.12%-0.25 vol pts+0.52 vol pts+0.22 vol pts
26MAR27201.6 days2,525.87+25.86 USD54.47%-0.01 vol pts+0.35 vol pts+0.01 vol pts
25JUN27292.6 days2,554.43+26.65 USD55.55%-0.01 vol pts+0.42 vol pts-0.06 vol pts

11 · Smile movement

Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.

Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.

6SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
7SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
8SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
11SEP26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
18SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25SEP26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
30OCT26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
27NOV26limited movement
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25DEC26parallel shift lower
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
26MAR27limited movement
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25JUN27limited movement
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k

Surface movement heatmap

Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.

Completed-session cross-asset context

Crypto volatility against US equity risk.

ETH 30-day implied volatility was 3.4 times VIX, while its 30-session return correlation with SPX was low at 0.03.

Implied-volatility premium

ETH 30-day ATM IV was 49.28%, against VIX at 14.53: a 34.75-point spread and 3.39× ratio.

Realised-volatility regime

ETH reported crypto realised volatility was 65.32%, versus SPX reported realised volatility of 8.30%. The spread ranked at percentile rank 60.4% of 225 prior observations.

Equity co-movement

Return correlation with SPX was 0.029 over 30 aligned sessions and 0.329 over 60 sessions. VIX9D, VIX and VIX3M closed at 11.97, 14.53 and 17.61.

RV comparison basis unverified: this edition does not record the recognised provider methodology for both horizons and annualisation conventions. The displayed spread rank does not establish matched-horizon comparability.

As of 04 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC. Implied volatility and completed-session realised volatility use their respective observation windows shown above.

Evidence and methodology

DerivaSys market-context-v1. Crypto RV: 20 calendar-day close-to-close log returns, sqrt(365); SPX RV: 20 US trading-session close-to-close log returns, sqrt(252). Sources: DerivaSys 30-day fixed-tenor surface; DerivaSys canonical crypto index; ^VIX and ^GSPC via Yahoo Finance.

Evidence, source data and methodology
Report comparison baseline → current snapshot
2026-09-04 18:43:00 UTC → 2026-09-05 18:43:00 UTC

Changes use these stored market-snapshot baselines. The comparison baseline may differ from the snapshot used in the previous published edition.

Original report summary

Ether’s nearest-expiry smile rotation was the largest surface dislocation, accompanied by a 2.83-point rise in Ether one-week RR25 to 1.36 volatility points. Ether one-week ATM IV rose 1.78 volatility points to 43.37%, remaining 3.46 volatility points below Ether seven-day realised volatility.

At report cutoff · Levels and stored endpoint changes

What matters now

Vol: ETH 1W ATM IV 43.37% · Δ +1.78 vol pts

Skew: ETH 1W RR25 1.36 vol pts · Δ +2.83 vol pts

Wings: ETH 1W BF25 2.42 vol pts · Δ +0.03 vol pts

Vol

ETH 1W ATM IV 43.37% · Δ +1.78 vol pts

Skew

ETH 1W RR25 1.36 vol pts · Δ +2.83 vol pts

Wings

ETH 1W BF25 2.42 vol pts · Δ +0.03 vol pts

IV versus RV

ETH Unavailable

Unavailable readings: ETH IV versus RV. See the report’s data availability notes.

Δ compares the report’s stored surface endpoints. IV versus RV is a level comparison, not a daily change.

12 · Technical appendix

Model parameters and normalized Greeks.

These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.

Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks

SVI diagnostics

Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.

Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 8SEP26; the largest sigma change occurred at 8SEP26.

ExpiryΔ aΔ bΔ rhoΔ mΔ sigmaSmile classification
6SEP26+0.03160-0.04070+0.17010+0.08660-0.03960rotation towards calls, wing steepening
7SEP26-0.00770-0.00320+0.15400+0.07580+0.08280rotation towards calls, wing steepening
8SEP26-0.01740+0.00150+0.12360+0.04770+0.12080rotation towards calls, wing steepening
11SEP26-0.01700-0.00250+0.06060+0.00210+0.11560rotation towards calls
18SEP26-0.00380+0.01270-0.01540-0.01520-0.02030rotation towards calls, wing steepening
25SEP26-0.00130+0.00690+0.01140-0.01460-0.02750rotation towards calls
30OCT26-0.01160+0.02020-0.11090-0.10290+0.01070rotation towards calls
27NOV26-0.00810+0.00290-0.01410-0.03410+0.03250limited movement
25DEC26+0.00870+0.00290-0.01320-0.00570-0.06190parallel shift lower
26MAR27+0.00050+0.00510-0.01120-0.01940-0.01820limited movement
25JUN27+0.00010+0.01460-0.03560-0.05580-0.02880limited movement

Current surface characteristics

Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.

These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-ETH ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.

Highest Vega25JUN27, 8.845724 USD / vol pt
Highest Gamma6SEP26, 0.012619 1 / USD
Highest Theta Decay6SEP26, -11.393358 USD / day
Highest Vanna25JUN27, 0.001731 delta / vol pt
Highest Volga25JUN27, -0.984623 USD / vol pt²

7D realised volatility · data quality

AssetRecorded RVStatusCoverage / requiredLongest gap / maximum
ETHUnavailableUnavailablenot recorded / not recorded requirednot recorded / not recorded maximum

Thresholds are asset-specific policies recorded in this edition. Each window is assessed independently; returns spanning gaps are excluded. Partial estimates may miss volatility during gaps.

RV coverage and methodology

ETH · Unavailable · Surface cutoff 05 Sept 2026, 18:43:00 UTC · 7D coverage not recorded / not recorded required · largest 7D gap not recorded / not recorded maximum · maximum gap not recorded. RV suppressed — valid 7D coverage was not recorded. Full 7D coverage policy was not recorded.

Source data JSON

13 · Methodology and provenance

Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.

Current snapshot
05 Sept 2026, 18:43 UTC
Comparison snapshot
04 Sept 2026, 18:43 UTC
Source
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical ETH index databases
Realised volatility
Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical ETH-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot.
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are published only when listed expiries bracket the target at both comparison snapshots. Targets outside either observable range are suppressed, not extrapolated; headline rankings use only supported tenors.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-ETH ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
Catalyst policy
Only sufficiently relevant, reliably sourced events are shown; otherwise no catalyst is assigned.

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