Daily ETH options market report · 24-hour comparison

Ether options gain convexity as short-dated volatility strengthens

Ether’s one-month BF25 rose to 3.22%, a notable move in the available history, while front-end ATM IV increased by 1.74 volatility points on average. One-week implied volatility also remained above seven-day realised volatility.

02 · Options market read

What the volatility surface did.

5 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at +2.12 volatility points, to 52.31%.

Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data

03 · Catalyst check

08 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC to 09 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC

News context unavailable.

News context unavailable because source coverage was incomplete.

04 · Detailed analysis

What changed across the ETH volatility surface.

Implied versus realised

At the 16:30 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 52.31%, 9.23 volatility points above seven-day realised volatility of 43.08%; 24-hour realised volatility was 45.53% and 30-day realised volatility was 52.16%.

Front end

Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +1.74 volatility points to 52.53% across 1W, 2W and 1M.

Long end

Six-month ATM IV was broadly unchanged at 54.75% (+0.36 volatility points); 1Y was unavailable.

Skew

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.41 volatility points to 1.57% across the five available headline tenors.

Convexity

BF25 increased, averaging +0.25 volatility points to 3.14% across the five available headline tenors.

Largest standard-tenor move

The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +2.12 volatility points at 1W, to 52.31%.

Universe roll: added 13SEP26; removed 9SEP26. Comparisons use common expiries only.

05 · Standard-tenor ranking

Largest surface events

01

Largest eligible smile rotation

18SEP26, +2.54 vol pts
02

Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move

1W, +2.12 vol pts
03

Largest standard-tenor RR25 move

2W, +1.08 vol pts
04

Largest standard-tenor BF25 move

1M, +0.50 vol pts
05

Largest eligible SVI sigma move

25SEP26, -0.1160 param
06

Largest eligible SVI rho move

30OCT26, +0.0691 param

06 · ATM volatility

Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.

TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)Relative change
1W52.3150.19+2.12 vol pts+4.22%
2W52.8550.77+2.08 vol pts+4.10%
1M52.4251.40+1.02 vol pts+1.98%
3M53.3152.51+0.80 vol pts+1.52%
6M54.7554.39+0.36 vol pts+0.66%
9M55.5955.49+0.10 vol pts+0.18%
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

07 · Risk reversals

RR25 skew moved most at 2W.

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.41 volatility points to 1.57% across the five available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.

0.1%0.8%1.5%2.2%2.9%1W2W1M3M6M9M
TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)
1W2.661.66+1.00 vol pts
2W2.301.22+1.08 vol pts
1M1.561.38+0.18 vol pts
3M0.940.93+0.01 vol pts
6M0.400.64-0.24 vol pts
9M0.490.69-0.20 vol pts
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

08 · Butterflies

BF25 convexity changed most at 1M.

BF25 increased, averaging +0.25 volatility points to 3.14% across the five available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.

2.3%2.6%2.9%3.2%3.5%1W2W1M3M6M9M
TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)
1W3.143.04+0.10 vol pts
2W2.902.54+0.36 vol pts
1M3.222.72+0.50 vol pts
3M3.343.13+0.21 vol pts
6M3.103.02+0.08 vol pts
9M2.892.75+0.14 vol pts
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

09 · Expiry effects

Near-settlement moves, shown with context.

Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.

0.6d

Smile rotation

10SEP26, +7.98 vol pts
1.6d

Smile rotation

11SEP26, +2.44 vol pts

10 · Volatility term structure

Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.

Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.

49.5%51.2%52.9%54.6%56.2%1W2W1M3M6M9M

Suppressed outside the observable listed-expiry range: 1Y.

ExpiryTime leftForward now (USD)Forward change (USD)ATM IV nowATM IV changeRR25 changeBF25 change
10SEP26Expiry effect0.6 days2,489.87-0.23 USD44.97%+0.82 vol pts+1.13 vol pts-0.55 vol pts
11SEP26Expiry effect1.6 days2,490.09-0.30 USD46.88%+1.06 vol pts+0.41 vol pts-0.19 vol pts
12SEP262.6 days2,490.46-0.14 USD52.55%+3.81 vol pts+0.46 vol pts-0.12 vol pts
18SEP268.6 days2,492.41-0.10 USD53.06%+2.44 vol pts+1.15 vol pts+0.11 vol pts
25SEP2615.6 days2,494.71-0.08 USD52.81%+1.99 vol pts+1.13 vol pts+0.51 vol pts
30OCT2650.6 days2,501.32+0.06 USD52.25%+0.55 vol pts-0.26 vol pts+0.48 vol pts
27NOV2678.6 days2,508.68+0.03 USD53.35%+0.97 vol pts+0.16 vol pts+0.18 vol pts
25DEC26106.6 days2,515.85+0.15 USD53.27%+0.62 vol pts-0.10 vol pts+0.26 vol pts
26MAR27197.6 days2,540.8-0.11 USD54.91%+0.31 vol pts-0.26 vol pts+0.06 vol pts
25JUN27288.6 days2,568.44+0.10 USD55.69%+0.06 vol pts-0.20 vol pts+0.16 vol pts

11 · Smile movement

Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.

Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.

10SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
11SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
12SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
18SEP26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
30OCT26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
27NOV26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25DEC26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
26MAR27parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25JUN27parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k

Surface movement heatmap

Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.

12 · Technical appendix

Model parameters and normalized Greeks.

These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.

Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks

SVI diagnostics

Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.

Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 30OCT26; the largest sigma change occurred at 25SEP26.

ExpiryΔ aΔ bΔ rhoΔ mΔ sigmaSmile classification
10SEP26-0.00470-0.01570+0.06020+0.04730+0.12800rotation towards calls, wing steepening
11SEP26-0.00180-0.00570+0.06810+0.04140+0.03460rotation towards calls, wing steepening
12SEP26-0.01080-0.00140+0.03730+0.01780+0.07580rotation towards calls, wing steepening
18SEP26-0.00130-0.00350+0.04170+0.01550+0.01420rotation towards calls
25SEP26+0.02110-0.00350+0.04170+0.04530-0.11600rotation towards calls, wing steepening
30OCT26+0.02000-0.01250+0.06910+0.08250-0.07950parallel shift higher
27NOV26+0.01140-0.01030+0.03510+0.03420-0.02740parallel shift higher
25DEC26+0.01520-0.00960+0.03010+0.04620-0.04750parallel shift higher
26MAR27-0.00900+0.00380+0.01280+0.01180+0.02950parallel shift higher
25JUN27+0.00030-0.01450+0.05860+0.07720+0.01500parallel shift higher

Current surface characteristics

Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.

These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-ETH ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.

Highest Vega25JUN27, 8.836928 USD / vol pt
Highest Gamma10SEP26, 0.00847 1 / USD
Highest Theta Decay10SEP26, -14.546269 USD / day
Highest Vanna25JUN27, 0.00172 delta / vol pt
Highest Volga25JUN27, -0.972951 USD / vol pt²

Completed-session cross-asset context

Crypto volatility against US equity risk.

ETH 30-day implied volatility was 3.3 times VIX, while its 30-session return correlation with SPX was low at 0.03.

Implied-volatility premium

ETH 30-day ATM IV was 51.82%, against VIX at 15.72: a 36.10-point spread and 3.30× ratio.

Realised-volatility regime

ETH 20-calendar-day realised volatility was 54.37%, versus SPX 20-session realised volatility of 8.54%. The spread ranked at 39.4 percentile of 226 prior observations.

Equity co-movement

Return correlation with SPX was 0.033 over 30 aligned sessions and 0.311 over 60 sessions. VIX9D, VIX and VIX3M closed at 14.81, 15.72 and 18.39.

As of 08 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC. market-context-v1; crypto RV annualized sqrt(365), SPX RV annualized sqrt(252); source provenance: DerivaSys canonical crypto index and Yahoo Finance ^GSPC/^VIX/^VIX9D/^VIX3M.

13 · Methodology and provenance

Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.

Current snapshot
09 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC
Comparison snapshot
08 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC
Source
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical ETH index databases
Realised volatility
Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical ETH-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot.
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are published only when listed expiries bracket the target at both comparison snapshots. Targets outside either observable range are suppressed, not extrapolated; headline rankings use only supported tenors.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-ETH ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
Catalyst policy
Only sufficiently relevant, reliably sourced events are shown; otherwise no catalyst is assigned.