Daily ETH options market report · 24-hour comparison

Ether options turn more call-rich at the one-month tenor

Ether one-month RR25 rose 1.22 volatility points to 2.03%, a notable shift toward relatively higher call-side volatility. One-week ATM IV rose 2.65 volatility points to 51.27%, a routine move, while the front-end ATM IV average increased 1.93 volatility points to 50.57%.

02 · Options market read

What the volatility surface did.

5 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at +2.65 volatility points, to 51.27%.

Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data

03 · Catalyst check

20 Sept 2026, 18:42 UTC to 21 Sept 2026, 18:42 UTC

No relevant catalyst identified.

No qualifying context was found in the monitored news sources for this reporting window.

04 · Detailed analysis

What changed across the ETH volatility surface.

Front end

Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +1.93 volatility points to 50.57% across 1W, 2W and 1M.

Long end

Six-month ATM IV was broadly unchanged at 54.89% (+0.45 volatility points); 1Y was unavailable.

Skew

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.41 volatility points to 1.71% across the five available headline tenors.

Convexity

BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.10 volatility points to 3.15% across the five available headline tenors.

Largest standard-tenor move

The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +2.65 volatility points at 1W, to 51.27%.

Universe roll: no additions; removed 21SEP26. Comparisons use common expiries only.

05 · Standard-tenor ranking

Largest surface events

01

Largest eligible smile rotation

24SEP26, +7.00 vol pts
02

Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move

1W, +2.65 vol pts
03

Largest standard-tenor RR25 move

1M, +1.22 vol pts
04

Largest standard-tenor BF25 move

3M, +0.22 vol pts
05

Largest eligible SVI sigma move

25SEP26, +0.1062 param
06

Largest eligible SVI rho move

27NOV26, +0.0866 param

06 · ATM volatility

Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.

TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)Relative change
1W51.2748.62+2.65 vol pts+5.45%
2W50.1248.20+1.92 vol pts+3.98%
1M50.3149.10+1.21 vol pts+2.46%
3M53.4552.54+0.91 vol pts+1.73%
6M54.8954.44+0.45 vol pts+0.83%
9M55.6855.57+0.11 vol pts+0.20%
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

07 · Risk reversals

RR25 skew moved most at 1M.

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.41 volatility points to 1.71% across the five available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.

0.6%1.0%1.4%1.8%2.3%1W2W1M3M6M9M
TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)
1W1.971.48+0.49 vol pts
2W2.051.69+0.36 vol pts
1M2.030.81+1.22 vol pts
3M0.870.91-0.04 vol pts
6M1.641.62+0.02 vol pts
9M1.801.96-0.16 vol pts
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

08 · Butterflies

BF25 convexity changed most at 3M.

BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.10 volatility points to 3.15% across the five available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.

2.6%2.9%3.1%3.3%3.6%1W2W1M3M6M9M
TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)
1W3.112.98+0.13 vol pts
2W3.133.09+0.04 vol pts
1M2.852.83+0.02 vol pts
3M3.293.07+0.22 vol pts
6M3.363.28+0.08 vol pts
9M2.982.86+0.12 vol pts
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

09 · Expiry effects

Near-settlement moves, shown with context.

Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.

0.6d

Smile rotation

22SEP26, +28.68 vol pts
1.6d

Smile rotation

23SEP26, +12.53 vol pts

10 · Volatility term structure

Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.

Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.

47.3%49.6%51.9%54.3%56.6%1W2W1M3M6M9M

Suppressed outside the observable listed-expiry range: 1Y.

ExpiryTime leftForward now (USD)Forward change (USD)ATM IV nowATM IV changeRR25 changeBF25 change
22SEP26Expiry effect0.6 days2,748.5+114.00 USD48.11%-0.25 vol pts+5.34 vol pts-0.50 vol pts
23SEP26Expiry effect1.6 days2,749.56+114.56 USD51.96%+2.41 vol pts+2.99 vol pts-0.39 vol pts
24SEP262.6 days2,750.27+114.88 USD53.16%+3.27 vol pts+2.08 vol pts-0.28 vol pts
25SEP263.6 days2,750.88+114.80 USD54.17%+4.04 vol pts+1.38 vol pts-0.36 vol pts
2OCT2610.6 days2,752.45+114.45 USD50.23%+2.75 vol pts-0.22 vol pts+0.24 vol pts
9OCT2617.6 days2,754.56+115.28 USD50.05%+1.02 vol pts+1.00 vol pts-0.04 vol pts
30OCT2638.6 days2,761.27+116.66 USD50.39%+1.26 vol pts+1.31 vol pts+0.05 vol pts
27NOV2666.6 days2,772.35+117.93 USD52.93%+0.98 vol pts-0.32 vol pts-0.06 vol pts
25DEC2694.6 days2,783.19+119.47 USD53.50%+0.88 vol pts-0.01 vol pts+0.25 vol pts
26MAR27185.6 days2,809.75+120.49 USD54.92%+0.43 vol pts+0.02 vol pts+0.08 vol pts
25JUN27276.6 days2,835.61+120.87 USD55.70%+0.09 vol pts-0.17 vol pts+0.13 vol pts

11 · Smile movement

Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.

Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.

22SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
23SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
24SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25SEP26rotation towards calls · wing flattening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
2OCT26parallel shift higher · rotation towards puts
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
9OCT26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
30OCT26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
27NOV26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25DEC26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
26MAR27parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25JUN27parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k

Surface movement heatmap

Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.

12 · Technical appendix

Model parameters and normalized Greeks.

These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.

Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks

SVI diagnostics

Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.

Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 27NOV26; the largest sigma change occurred at 25SEP26.

ExpiryΔ aΔ bΔ rhoΔ mΔ sigmaSmile classification
22SEP26+0.04220-0.04870+0.18840+0.09170-0.09420rotation towards calls, wing steepening
23SEP26-0.00290-0.01380+0.06190+0.02900+0.07710rotation towards calls, wing steepening
24SEP26+0.00640-0.01890+0.04000+0.01400+0.03400rotation towards calls, wing steepening
25SEP26-0.00730-0.01400+0.00760-0.01450+0.10620rotation towards calls, wing flattening
2OCT26+0.01610-0.01230+0.01990+0.02390-0.04560parallel shift higher, rotation towards puts
9OCT26+0.00880-0.01020+0.00640-0.00600-0.01150rotation towards calls
30OCT26+0.01140-0.00850+0.01660-0.00810-0.02590rotation towards calls
27NOV26+0.01890-0.02390+0.08660+0.07640-0.01880parallel shift higher
25DEC26+0.02310-0.01140+0.03250+0.04640-0.07000parallel shift higher
26MAR27-0.00480+0.01990-0.05950-0.04840-0.01360parallel shift higher
25JUN27+0.00520-0.01160+0.03610+0.05690-0.00260parallel shift higher

Current surface characteristics

Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.

These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-ETH ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.

Highest Vega25JUN27, 9.561786 USD / vol pt
Highest Gamma22SEP26, 0.007743 1 / USD
Highest Theta Decay22SEP26, -18.544771 USD / day
Highest Vanna25JUN27, 0.001686 delta / vol pt
Highest Volga25JUN27, -1.008838 USD / vol pt²

Completed-session cross-asset context

Crypto volatility against US equity risk.

ETH 30-day implied volatility was 3.3 times VIX, while its 30-session return correlation with SPX was low at 0.20.

Implied-volatility premium

ETH 30-day ATM IV was 48.50%, against VIX at 14.81: a 33.69-point spread and 3.27× ratio.

Realised-volatility regime

ETH 20-calendar-day realised volatility was 50.63%, versus SPX 20-session realised volatility of 9.38%. The spread ranked at 37.2 percentile of 234 prior observations.

Equity co-movement

Return correlation with SPX was 0.196 over 30 aligned sessions and 0.231 over 60 sessions. VIX9D, VIX and VIX3M closed at 12.27, 14.81 and 18.24.

As of 18 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC. Cross-asset metrics use the persisted 2026-09-18 common US session; crypto realised volatility is annualised using sqrt(365) and SPX realised volatility using sqrt(252).

13 · Methodology and provenance

Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.

Current snapshot
21 Sept 2026, 18:42 UTC
Comparison snapshot
20 Sept 2026, 18:42 UTC
Source
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface database
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are published only when listed expiries bracket the target at both comparison snapshots. Targets outside either observable range are suppressed, not extrapolated; headline rankings use only supported tenors.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-ETH ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
Catalyst policy
Only sufficiently relevant, reliably sourced events are shown; otherwise no catalyst is assigned.

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