Daily SOL options market report · 24-hour comparison

Solana options reprice convexity lower as call skew persists

Solana’s standout move was a sharp reduction in one-month BF25, indicating lower priced convexity away from the centre of the options surface. That reset sat alongside a strongly positive two-week RR25, where call-side volatility remained richer than put-side volatility.

01 · Daily briefing

Macro · Crypto · Options

The day in markets.

Solana one-month BF25 fell 1.03 volatility points to 3.69%, a large convexity repricing at the 95.2 percentile of comparable history. Separately, Solana two-week RR25 rose 2.05 volatility points to 5.09%, leaving calls materially richer than puts. One-month ATM IV fell 2.13 volatility points to 52.69%, according to Derivasys data; realised-volatility comparisons were unavailable.

Links identify the underlying reporting. Events are presented as context, not assigned causes.

02 · Options market read

What the volatility surface did.

4 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1M at -2.13 volatility points, to 52.69%.

Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data

03 · Catalyst check

17 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC to 18 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC

Relevant context found; no confirmed catalyst

Relevant market event

1 event was retained after relevance scoring and event-level deduplication.

Confidencelow causal confidence

News is presented as contextual association unless the structured evidence supports a stronger relationship.

04 · Detailed analysis

What changed across the SOL volatility surface.

Front end

Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.47 volatility points to 51.78% across 1W, 2W and 1M.

Long end

Long-dated ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots.

Skew

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.60 volatility points to 3.91% across the four available headline tenors.

Convexity

BF25 decreased, averaging -0.52 volatility points to 4.12% across the four available headline tenors.

Largest standard-tenor move

The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -2.13 volatility points at 1M, to 52.69%.

Universe roll: added 20SEP26; removed 18SEP26. Comparisons use common expiries only.

05 · Standard-tenor ranking

Largest surface events

01

Largest eligible smile rotation

2OCT26, +4.05 vol pts
02

Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move

1M, -2.13 vol pts
03

Largest standard-tenor RR25 move

2W, +2.05 vol pts
04

Largest standard-tenor BF25 move

1M, -1.03 vol pts
05

Largest eligible SVI sigma move

25DEC26, -0.1533 param
06

Largest eligible SVI rho move

2OCT26, -0.1411 param

06 · ATM volatility

Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.

TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)Relative change
1W50.6949.90+0.79 vol pts+1.58%
2W51.9752.04-0.07 vol pts-0.13%
1M52.6954.82-2.13 vol pts-3.89%
3M54.0355.77-1.74 vol pts-3.12%
6MUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
9MUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

07 · Risk reversals

RR25 skew moved most at 2W.

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.60 volatility points to 3.91% across the four available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.

2.6%3.3%4.0%4.7%5.4%1W2W1M3M
TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)
1W4.013.98+0.03 vol pts
2W5.093.04+2.05 vol pts
1M3.133.32-0.19 vol pts
3M3.402.89+0.51 vol pts
6MUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
9MUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

08 · Butterflies

BF25 convexity changed most at 1M.

BF25 decreased, averaging -0.52 volatility points to 4.12% across the four available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.

3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%5.5%1W2W1M3M
TenorCurrent (vol %)Previous (vol %)Change (vol pts)
1W3.814.42-0.61 vol pts
2W3.714.36-0.65 vol pts
1M3.694.72-1.03 vol pts
3M5.285.07+0.21 vol pts
6MUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
9MUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
1YUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

09 · Expiry effects

Near-settlement moves, shown with context.

Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.

0.6d

Smile rotation

19SEP26, +19.46 vol pts

10 · Volatility term structure

Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.

Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.

49.2%51.0%52.8%54.7%56.5%1W2W1M3M

Suppressed outside the observable listed-expiry range: 6M, 9M, 1Y.

ExpiryTime leftForward now (USD)Forward change (USD)ATM IV nowATM IV changeRR25 changeBF25 change
19SEP26Expiry effect0.6 days111.73+10.59 USD60.69%+7.95 vol pts+3.22 vol pts-2.96 vol pts
25SEP266.6 days111.7+10.49 USD50.55%+0.73 vol pts-0.18 vol pts-0.58 vol pts
2OCT2613.6 days111.79+10.55 USD51.93%-0.22 vol pts+2.19 vol pts-0.65 vol pts
30OCT2641.6 days112.04+10.61 USD52.86%-2.69 vol pts-0.74 vol pts-1.12 vol pts
25DEC2697.6 days112.38+10.57 USD54.10%-1.68 vol pts+0.58 vol pts+0.26 vol pts

11 · Smile movement

Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.

Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.

19SEP26rotation towards calls · wing flattening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25SEP26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
2OCT26rotation towards calls · wing flattening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
30OCT26parallel shift lower
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25DEC26parallel shift lower
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k

Surface movement heatmap

Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.

12 · Technical appendix

Model parameters and normalized Greeks.

These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.

Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks

SVI diagnostics

Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.

Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 2OCT26; the largest sigma change occurred at 25DEC26.

ExpiryΔ aΔ bΔ rhoΔ mΔ sigmaSmile classification
19SEP26+0.02890-0.08580+0.12170+0.02100-0.03030rotation towards calls, wing flattening
25SEP26-0.00780-0.00380+0.00290-0.00930+0.05740rotation towards calls
2OCT26-0.01310+0.01160-0.14110-0.10690+0.05260rotation towards calls, wing flattening
30OCT26-0.02250-0.00430+0.00090-0.01690+0.10880parallel shift lower
25DEC26+0.05360-0.03890-0.01390-0.01560-0.15330parallel shift lower

Current surface characteristics

Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.

These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-SOL ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.

Highest Vega25DEC26, 0.22963 USD / vol pt
Highest Gamma19SEP26, 0.139853 1 / USD
Highest Theta Decay19SEP26, -0.880893 USD / day
Highest Vanna25DEC26, 0.001022 delta / vol pt
Highest Volga25DEC26, -0.008309 USD / vol pt²

Completed-session cross-asset context

Crypto volatility against US equity risk.

SOL 30-day implied volatility was 3.3 times VIX, while its 30-session return correlation with SPX was mixed at 0.41.

Implied-volatility premium

SOL 30-day ATM IV was 51.60%, against VIX at 15.44: a 36.16-point spread and 3.34× ratio.

Realised-volatility regime

SOL 20-calendar-day realised volatility was 48.33%, versus SPX 20-session realised volatility of 9.85%. The spread ranked at 25.7 percentile of 230 prior observations.

Equity co-movement

Return correlation with SPX was 0.412 over 30 aligned sessions and 0.299 over 60 sessions. VIX9D, VIX and VIX3M closed at 13.39, 15.44 and 18.55.

As of 17 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC. Persisted Derivasys market context; crypto RV uses sqrt(365), SPX RV uses sqrt(252).

13 · Methodology and provenance

Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.

Current snapshot
18 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC
Comparison snapshot
17 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC
Source
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface database
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are published only when listed expiries bracket the target at both comparison snapshots. Targets outside either observable range are suppressed, not extrapolated; headline rankings use only supported tenors.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-SOL ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
Catalyst policy
Only sufficiently relevant, reliably sourced events are shown; otherwise no catalyst is assigned.

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