Daily SOL options market report · 24-hour comparison
Solana options price richer convexity as front-end volatility firms
Solana three-month BF25 rose 0.88 volatility points to 5.36%, the most notable surface adjustment at the cutoff. Front-end ATM IV also increased, led by a 2.00-point rise in one-week ATM IV to 55.38%.
4 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at +2.00 volatility points, to 55.38%.
Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data
03 · Catalyst check
19 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC to 20 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC
No relevant catalyst identified.
No qualifying context was found in the monitored news sources for this reporting window.
04 · Detailed analysis
What changed across the SOL volatility surface.
Front end
Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +1.26 volatility points to 54.21% across 1W, 2W and 1M.
Long end
Long-dated ATM IV is unavailable because comparable observations were not present at both snapshots.
Skew
RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -0.45 volatility points to 1.82% across the four available headline tenors.
Convexity
BF25 increased, averaging +0.41 volatility points to 4.54% across the four available headline tenors.
Largest standard-tenor move
The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +2.00 volatility points at 1W, to 55.38%.
Universe roll: added 22SEP26; removed 20SEP26. Comparisons use common expiries only.
05 · Standard-tenor ranking
Largest surface events
01
Largest eligible smile rotation
25SEP26, -3.80 vol pts02
Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move
1W, +2.00 vol pts03
Largest standard-tenor BF25 move
3M, +0.88 vol pts04
Largest standard-tenor RR25 move
1W, -0.75 vol pts05
Largest eligible SVI sigma move
25DEC26, -0.2654 param06
Largest eligible SVI rho move
25SEP26, -0.1465 param
06 · ATM volatility
Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.
Tenor
Current (vol %)
Previous (vol %)
Change (vol pts)
Relative change
1W
55.38
53.38
+2.00 vol pts
+3.75%
2W
53.86
52.55
+1.31 vol pts
+2.49%
1M
53.39
52.92
+0.47 vol pts
+0.89%
3M
54.41
54.10
+0.31 vol pts
+0.57%
6M
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
9M
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
1Y
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
07 · Risk reversals
RR25 skew moved most at 1W.
RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -0.45 volatility points to 1.82% across the four available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.
CurrentPrevious day
Tenor
Current (vol %)
Previous (vol %)
Change (vol pts)
1W
1.04
1.79
-0.75 vol pts
2W
1.33
1.90
-0.57 vol pts
1M
2.01
2.53
-0.52 vol pts
3M
2.90
2.86
+0.04 vol pts
6M
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
9M
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
1Y
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
08 · Butterflies
BF25 convexity changed most at 3M.
BF25 increased, averaging +0.41 volatility points to 4.54% across the four available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.
CurrentPrevious day
Tenor
Current (vol %)
Previous (vol %)
Change (vol pts)
1W
4.36
3.97
+0.39 vol pts
2W
4.07
4.06
+0.01 vol pts
1M
4.37
4.03
+0.34 vol pts
3M
5.36
4.48
+0.88 vol pts
6M
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
9M
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
1Y
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
09 · Expiry effects
Near-settlement moves, shown with context.
Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
0.6d
Smile rotation
21SEP26, -27.42 vol pts
10 · Volatility term structure
Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.
Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.
CurrentPrevious day
Suppressed outside the observable listed-expiry range: 6M, 9M, 1Y.
Expiry
Time left
Forward now (USD)
Forward change (USD)
ATM IV now
ATM IV change
RR25 change
BF25 change
21SEP26Expiry effect
0.6 days
109.35
-2.32 USD
56.02%
+5.27 vol pts
-6.71 vol pts
+2.73 vol pts
25SEP26
4.6 days
109.41
-2.26 USD
57.04%
+3.18 vol pts
-0.81 vol pts
+0.91 vol pts
2OCT26
11.6 days
109.47
-2.25 USD
54.04%
+1.56 vol pts
-0.69 vol pts
-0.09 vol pts
30OCT26
39.6 days
109.73
-2.22 USD
53.29%
+0.29 vol pts
-0.52 vol pts
+0.40 vol pts
25DEC26
95.6 days
110.14
-2.20 USD
54.45%
+0.30 vol pts
+0.06 vol pts
+0.88 vol pts
11 · Smile movement
Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.
Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.
21SEP26rotation towards puts · wing steepening25SEP26rotation towards puts · wing steepening2OCT26rotation towards puts30OCT26rotation towards puts25DEC26parallel shift higher
Surface movement heatmap
Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.
IV lowerIV higher
21SEP26
25SEP26
2OCT26
30OCT26
25DEC26
-0.30kATM+0.30k
12 · Technical appendix
Model parameters and normalized Greeks.
These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.
Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks
SVI diagnostics
Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.
Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 25SEP26; the largest sigma change occurred at 25DEC26.
Expiry
Δ a
Δ b
Δ rho
Δ m
Δ sigma
Smile classification
21SEP26
+0.07100
-0.04440
-0.22700
-0.12450
-0.45450
rotation towards puts, wing steepening
25SEP26
+0.02740
-0.00950
-0.14650
-0.05720
-0.12890
rotation towards puts, wing steepening
2OCT26
+0.00670
-0.00740
-0.07230
-0.03400
-0.01290
rotation towards puts
30OCT26
+0.02320
-0.01950
+0.11050
+0.08340
-0.07330
rotation towards puts
25DEC26
+0.09460
-0.05750
+0.00130
+0.02600
-0.26540
parallel shift higher
Current surface characteristics
Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.
These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-SOL ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.
SOL 30-day implied volatility was 3.7 times VIX, while its 30-session return correlation with SPX was mixed at 0.39.
Implied-volatility premium
SOL 30-day ATM IV was 54.70%, against VIX at 14.81: a 39.89-point spread and 3.69× ratio.
Realised-volatility regime
SOL 20-calendar-day realised volatility was 70.89%, versus SPX 20-session realised volatility of 9.38%. The spread ranked at 47.2 percentile of 231 prior observations.
Equity co-movement
Return correlation with SPX was 0.391 over 30 aligned sessions and 0.282 over 60 sessions. VIX9D, VIX and VIX3M closed at 12.27, 14.81 and 18.24.
As of 18 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC. Derivasys cross-asset metrics at 2026-09-18T20:00:00Z; crypto RV annualizes with sqrt(365), SPX RV with sqrt(252).
13 · Methodology and provenance
Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.
Current snapshot
20 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC
Comparison snapshot
19 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC
Source
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface database
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are published only when listed expiries bracket the target at both comparison snapshots. Targets outside either observable range are suppressed, not extrapolated; headline rankings use only supported tenors.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-SOL ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
Catalyst policy
Only sufficiently relevant, reliably sourced events are shown; otherwise no catalyst is assigned.
