Daily ETH options market report · 24-hour comparison

Ether’s front end catches the spot advance

Ether rose 1.61 per cent over the 24-hour window and, unlike Bitcoin, drew a clearer response from short-dated options. One-week implied volatility gained 1.97 points to 45.25 per cent, although it still sat below seven-day realised volatility. Calls also became relatively richer and butterfly convexity increased. Sber’s collateral plans supplied relevant institutional context, but the observed market reaction was too small to support a causal claim.

Snapshot · 30 Aug 2026, 14:11 UTC

  • ETHSpot-index 24h +1.61%1W ATM IV 45.25%1W RR25 -0.08 vol pts1W BF25 +2.66 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable
  • ETH1W ATM IV 45.25%Spot-index 24h +1.61%
Full snapshot readings
  • ETHSpot-index 24h +1.61%1W ATM IV 45.25%1W RR25 -0.08 vol pts1W BF25 +2.66 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable

01 · Daily briefing

Macro · Crypto · Options

The day in markets.

Ether rose 1.61 per cent over the 24-hour window and, unlike Bitcoin, drew a clearer response from short-dated options. One-week implied volatility gained 1.97 points to 45.25 per cent, although it still sat below seven-day realised volatility. Calls also became relatively richer and butterfly convexity increased. Sber’s collateral plans supplied relevant institutional context, but the observed market reaction was too small to support a causal claim.

Ether’s front end catches the spot advance

Ether’s forward and short-dated implied volatility rose together, while the one-year-minus-one-week slope flattened as most of the repricing remained concentrated near the front of the curve.

Macro

The weekend produced no fresh scheduled macro release that met the report’s relevance threshold; the latest completed US-session context therefore remains Friday’s close.

Crypto

Sber’s plan to accept Ether alongside Bitcoin and USDT as loan collateral was the most directly relevant institutional development, but it is presented as context rather than an explanation for the options move.

Links identify the underlying reporting for retained events; entries without a retained link are marked.

02 · Options market read

What the volatility surface did.

6 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at +1.97 volatility points, to 45.25%.

Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data

03 · Catalyst check

29 Aug 2026, 14:11 UTC to 30 Aug 2026, 14:11 UTC

Relevant context found; no confirmed catalyst

Relevant market event

1 relevant event was retained for the comparison window.

News collection was incomplete; the retained events do not establish full coverage.

Confidencelow causal confidence

News is presented as contextual association unless the structured evidence supports a stronger relationship.

04 · Detailed analysis

What changed across the ETH volatility surface.

Implied versus realised

At the 14:11 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 45.25%, 5.91 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 51.16%; 24-hour realised volatility was 23.09% and 30-day realised volatility was 48.82%.

Front end

Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +1.44 volatility points to 47.01% across 1W, 2W and 1M.

Long end

Long-dated ATM IV increased, averaging +0.13 volatility points to 55.39% across 6M and 1Y.

Skew

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.44 volatility points to -0.09 volatility points across the six available headline tenors.

Convexity

BF25 increased, averaging +0.18 volatility points to 2.84 volatility points across the six available headline tenors.

Largest standard-tenor move

The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +1.97 volatility points at 1W, to 45.25%.

Universe roll: added 3SEP26; removed 30AUG26. Comparisons use common expiries only.

05 · Standard-tenor ranking

Largest surface events

01

Largest eligible smile rotation

2SEP26, +8.94 vol pts
02

Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move

1W, +1.97 vol pts
03

Largest standard-tenor RR25 move

1W, +1.56 vol pts
04

Largest standard-tenor BF25 move

1W, +0.34 vol pts
05

Largest eligible SVI rho move

4SEP26, +0.1671 param
06

Largest eligible SVI sigma move

2SEP26, -0.1385 param

06 · ATM volatility

Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.

TenorCurrent (vol %)Comparison snapshot (vol %)Change (vol pts)Relative change
1W45.2543.28+1.97 vol pts+4.55%
2W46.6145.06+1.55 vol pts+3.44%
1M49.1748.38+0.79 vol pts+1.63%
3M52.4052.15+0.25 vol pts+0.48%
6M54.6054.48+0.12 vol pts+0.22%
9M55.6455.53+0.11 vol pts+0.20%
1Y56.1756.03+0.14 vol pts+0.25%

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

07 · Risk reversals

RR25 skew moved most at 1W.

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.44 volatility points to -0.09 volatility points across the six available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.

-1.9 vol pts-1.2 vol pts-0.4 vol pts0.4 vol pts1.1 vol pts1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
TenorCurrent (vol pts)Comparison snapshot (vol pts)Change (vol pts)
1W-0.08-1.64+1.56 vol pts
2W0.18-0.60+0.78 vol pts
1M-1.02-1.26+0.24 vol pts
3M-0.19-0.40+0.21 vol pts
6M-0.12-0.120.00 vol pts
9M0.380.45-0.07 vol pts
1Y0.690.82-0.13 vol pts

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

08 · Butterflies

BF25 convexity changed most at 1W.

BF25 increased, averaging +0.18 volatility points to 2.84 volatility points across the six available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.

2.1 vol pts2.4 vol pts2.8 vol pts3.1 vol pts3.4 vol pts1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
TenorCurrent (vol pts)Comparison snapshot (vol pts)Change (vol pts)
1W2.662.32+0.34 vol pts
2W2.882.68+0.20 vol pts
1M2.662.54+0.12 vol pts
3M2.952.86+0.09 vol pts
6M3.242.94+0.30 vol pts
9M2.922.77+0.15 vol pts
1Y2.652.60+0.05 vol pts

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

09 · Expiry effects

Near-settlement moves, shown with context.

Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.

0.7d

Smile rotation

31AUG26, +13.71 vol pts
1.7d

Smile rotation

1SEP26, +10.10 vol pts

10 · Volatility term structure

Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.

Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.

41.7%45.7%49.7%53.7%57.7%1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
ExpiryTime leftForward now (USD)Forward change (USD)ATM IV nowATM IV changeRR25 changeBF25 change
31AUG26Expiry effect0.7 days2,475.04+38.84 USD39.62%+6.77 vol pts+2.77 vol pts+0.69 vol pts
1SEP26Expiry effect1.7 days2,475.94+39.25 USD42.81%+5.38 vol pts+2.43 vol pts+0.31 vol pts
2SEP262.7 days2,476.23+39.41 USD43.73%+4.40 vol pts+2.39 vol pts+0.63 vol pts
4SEP264.7 days2,476.91+39.48 USD44.75%+2.06 vol pts+2.12 vol pts+0.48 vol pts
11SEP2611.7 days2,478.98+39.96 USD45.67%+1.21 vol pts+0.55 vol pts+0.03 vol pts
18SEP2618.7 days2,481.03+39.99 USD47.82%+1.05 vol pts+0.93 vol pts+0.37 vol pts
25SEP2625.7 days2,484.2+40.28 USD48.58%+0.73 vol pts+0.21 vol pts+0.11 vol pts
30OCT2660.7 days2,490.12+40.83 USD50.95%+0.41 vol pts-0.12 vol pts-0.02 vol pts
27NOV2688.7 days2,496.28+41.16 USD52.34%+0.21 vol pts+0.27 vol pts+0.09 vol pts
25DEC26116.7 days2,501.53+41.49 USD52.96%+0.41 vol pts-0.12 vol pts+0.06 vol pts
26MAR27207.7 days2,527.61+41.92 USD54.96%+0.04 vol pts+0.02 vol pts+0.34 vol pts
25JUN27298.7 days2,556.09+42.64 USD55.82%+0.11 vol pts-0.09 vol pts+0.13 vol pts

11 · Smile movement

Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.

Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.

31AUG26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
1SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
2SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
4SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
11SEP26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
18SEP26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25SEP26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
30OCT26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
27NOV26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25DEC26parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
26MAR27parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25JUN27parallel shift higher
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k

Surface movement heatmap

Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.

Completed-session cross-asset context

Crypto volatility against US equity risk.

ETH 30-day implied volatility was 3.4 times VIX, while its 30-session return correlation with SPX was low at -0.01.

Implied-volatility premium

ETH 30-day ATM IV was 48.81%, against VIX at 14.43: a 34.38-point spread and 3.38× ratio.

Realised-volatility regime

ETH 20-calendar-day realised volatility was 60.97%, versus SPX 20-session realised volatility of 10.58%. The spread ranked at percentile rank 46.8% of 220 prior observations.

Equity co-movement

Return correlation with SPX was -0.007 over 30 aligned sessions and 0.442 over 60 sessions. VIX9D, VIX and VIX3M closed at 11.22, 14.43 and 17.48.

As of 28 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC. Implied volatility and completed-session realised volatility use their respective observation windows shown above.

Evidence and methodology

Crypto realised volatility uses 20 calendar days and sqrt(365); SPX uses 20 US sessions and sqrt(252). The two clocks are shown explicitly and the figures are contextual, not causal attribution.

Evidence, source data and methodology
Report comparison baseline → current snapshot
2026-08-29 14:11:00 UTC → 2026-08-30 14:11:00 UTC

Changes use these stored market-snapshot baselines. The comparison baseline may differ from the snapshot used in the previous published edition.

Original report summary

Ether rose 1.61 per cent over the 24-hour window and, unlike Bitcoin, drew a clearer response from short-dated options. One-week implied volatility gained 1.97 points to 45.25 per cent, although it still sat below seven-day realised volatility. Calls also became relatively richer and butterfly convexity increased. Sber’s collateral plans supplied relevant institutional context, but the observed market reaction was too small to support a causal claim.

At report cutoff · Levels and stored endpoint changes

What matters now

Vol: ETH 1W ATM IV 45.25% · Δ +1.97 vol pts

Skew: ETH 1W RR25 -0.08 vol pts · Δ +1.56 vol pts

Wings: ETH 1W BF25 2.66 vol pts · Δ +0.34 vol pts

Vol

ETH 1W ATM IV 45.25% · Δ +1.97 vol pts

Skew

ETH 1W RR25 -0.08 vol pts · Δ +1.56 vol pts

Wings

ETH 1W BF25 2.66 vol pts · Δ +0.34 vol pts

IV versus RV

ETH Unavailable

Unavailable readings: ETH IV versus RV. See the report’s data availability notes.

Δ compares the report’s stored surface endpoints. IV versus RV is a level comparison, not a daily change.

12 · Technical appendix

Model parameters and normalized Greeks.

These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.

Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks

SVI diagnostics

Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.

Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 4SEP26; the largest sigma change occurred at 2SEP26.

ExpiryΔ aΔ bΔ rhoΔ mΔ sigmaSmile classification
31AUG26-0.00140+0.01850+0.12940+0.08800-0.10150rotation towards calls, wing steepening
1SEP26+0.00280+0.00020+0.11230+0.07000-0.02390rotation towards calls, wing steepening
2SEP26+0.02110-0.00040+0.13420+0.09330-0.13850rotation towards calls, wing steepening
4SEP26+0.01380-0.00190+0.16710+0.11650-0.08790rotation towards calls, wing steepening
11SEP26-0.02630+0.00900+0.10660+0.05710+0.09150rotation towards calls
18SEP26-0.00990+0.00850+0.10920+0.06700+0.00700rotation towards calls, wing steepening
25SEP26-0.02540+0.01220+0.09290+0.06260+0.06670parallel shift higher
30OCT26-0.03270+0.01270+0.09130+0.05460+0.10970parallel shift higher
27NOV26-0.02010+0.00650+0.11610+0.07660+0.05910parallel shift higher
25DEC26-0.02240+0.00600+0.11770+0.08770+0.07650parallel shift higher
26MAR27-0.01430-0.00520+0.12630+0.11700+0.03320parallel shift higher
25JUN27-0.06580+0.04470+0.00270-0.05170+0.11480parallel shift higher

Current surface characteristics

Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.

These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-ETH ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.

Highest Vega25JUN27, 8.93601 USD / vol pt
Highest Gamma31AUG26, 0.009021 1 / USD
Highest Theta Decay31AUG26, -11.882388 USD / day
Highest Vanna25JUN27, 0.001748 delta / vol pt
Highest Volga25JUN27, -1.020651 USD / vol pt²

7D realised volatility · data quality

AssetRecorded RVStatusCoverage / requiredLongest gap / maximum
ETHUnavailableUnavailablenot recorded / not recorded requirednot recorded / not recorded maximum

Thresholds are asset-specific policies recorded in this edition. Each window is assessed independently; returns spanning gaps are excluded. Partial estimates may miss volatility during gaps.

RV coverage and methodology

ETH · Unavailable · Surface cutoff 30 Aug 2026, 14:11:00 UTC · 7D coverage not recorded / not recorded required · largest 7D gap not recorded / not recorded maximum · maximum gap not recorded. RV suppressed — valid 7D coverage was not recorded. Full 7D coverage policy was not recorded.

Source data JSON

13 · Methodology and provenance

Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.

Current snapshot
30 Aug 2026, 14:11 UTC
Comparison snapshot
29 Aug 2026, 14:11 UTC
Source
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical ETH index databases
Realised volatility
Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical ETH-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot.
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are interpolated independently at 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 9M and 1Y; headline rankings prioritise 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-ETH ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
Catalyst policy
Only sufficiently relevant, reliably sourced events are shown; otherwise no catalyst is assigned.

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