BTC’s principal surface move was a 1.11-point rise in 1W ATM IV to 34.67%, with front-end IV averaging 35.01%, up 0.72 points.
- 1W ATM IV
- 34.67%
- 1W RR25
- +1.13 vol pts
- 1W BF25
- 1.81 vol pts
Permanent monthly research archive
August 2026 crypto options volatility reports across BTC, ETH, SOL, Major Coins and Altcoins, with daily and weekly ATM implied volatility, RR25 skew, BF25 convexity and realised-volatility analysis. Every item links to its dated, permanent report and preserved methodology.
Historical daily observations
Compare published 1W ATM implied volatility, 1W RR25 and 7-day realised volatility by report date. Values are annualised percentages or volatility points as labelled; missing observations remain unavailable. Weekly editions are listed separately below.
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Latest BTC daily snapshot
BTC’s principal surface move was a 1.11-point rise in 1W ATM IV to 34.67%, with front-end IV averaging 35.01%, up 0.72 points.
Daily research
43 reports
BTC’s front end firmed into the 20:58 UTC cutoff, while the long end was largely unchanged and the curve flattened. The largest standard-tenor move was a routine 1W ATM IV increase, but 2W RR25 moved notably toward relative call-side volatility. Collected news supplied contemporaneous macro and crypto developments, yet the available reaction evidence does not establish a direct explanation for the closing repricing.
ETH’s front-end implied volatility rose modestly into the cutoff, while longer-dated ATM IV eased and the term structure flattened. The largest standard-tenor movement was a routine 2W increase, and 3M RR25 moved toward relative call-side volatility. A BitMine treasury update was published within the window, but its timed reaction does not demonstrate that it caused the observed end-of-window surface configuration.
SOL saw the session’s most pronounced surface move among the major coins: 1W ATM IV fell 5.10 points and front-end IV declined 4.51 points on average. RR25 moved toward relative put-side volatility, while remaining call-rich, and near-term convexity fell. A report on cancelled SOL supply was available in the window, but reaction data are partial and do not establish causation for the broad compression.
A like-for-like daily comparison of BTC, ETH and SOL implied volatility, skew, convexity and realised volatility.
XRP forward -0.71% and one-week ATM IV +0.30 points; HYPE forward +3.31% and one-week ATM IV -4.99 points; AVAX forward -2.17% and one-week ATM IV -7.29 points; TRX forward -2.94% and one-week ATM IV -4.19 points.
Bitcoin rose 1.55 per cent over the 24-hour window, but the options market did not chase the move: one-week implied volatility added only 0.19 points and one-month volatility slipped. Skew became less defensive, while seven-day realised volatility remained above the one-week implied measure. The news backdrop offered useful institutional and on-chain context, though neither item provides a convincing explanation for the restrained repricing.
Ether rose 1.61 per cent over the 24-hour window and, unlike Bitcoin, drew a clearer response from short-dated options. One-week implied volatility gained 1.97 points to 45.25 per cent, although it still sat below seven-day realised volatility. Sber’s collateral plans supplied relevant institutional context, but the observed market reaction was too small to support a causal claim.
Solana delivered the strongest spot move of the three major-coin reports, rising 3.02 per cent over the 24-hour window. One-week implied volatility climbed 2.56 points to 72.36 per cent and two-week risk reversal swung 4.02 points towards calls. The surface stayed inverted and seven-day realised volatility remained higher than one-week implied volatility. No sufficiently relevant Solana headline was found, so the report leaves the repricing unattributed.
A like-for-like daily comparison of BTC, ETH and SOL implied volatility, skew, convexity and realised volatility.
XRP forward not yet comparable and one-week ATM IV not yet comparable; HYPE forward +1.96% and one-week ATM IV -2.02 points; AVAX forward not yet comparable and one-week ATM IV not yet comparable; TRX forward not yet comparable and one-week ATM IV not yet comparable. AVAX and TRX are shown with current levels only because their production histories began less than 24 hours before the cutoff. The candidate XRP baseline failed the plausibility check and was excluded rather than reported as a market move.
Bitcoin fell 1.76 per cent over the 24-hour window as the market continued to digest Kevin Warsh’s warning that inflation could require tighter policy. The options response was more nuanced than the spot move: one-week implied volatility fell 3.69 points to 32.85 per cent, while two-week risk reversal moved sharply towards puts. One-week implied volatility now sits below seven-day realised volatility but above the quieter 24-hour measure, leaving the curve steeper rather than uniformly subdued.
Ether fell 2.54 per cent over the 24-hour window, underperforming Bitcoin as markets continued to digest Kevin Warsh’s warning that stubborn inflation could require higher US rates. Two-week implied volatility fell 2.73 points to 45.15 per cent and one-week risk reversal swung towards puts. One-week implied volatility remains well below seven-day realised volatility, while a brief Kraken funding delay was resolved during the session without evidence that it drove the broader repricing.
Solana rose 0.87 per cent over the 24-hour window even as one-week implied volatility fell 1.58 points and call-relative skew strengthened. The broader backdrop remained cautious after renewed inflation warnings, while a contained exploit involving an outdated Solana contract affected 1,685 Rain card users; neither event provides a sufficiently direct explanation for the options repricing.
A like-for-like daily comparison of BTC, ETH and SOL implied volatility, skew, convexity and realised volatility.
Bitcoin ended the session below $80,000 as investors absorbed Kevin Warsh’s first major Jackson Hole address and a $6.4bn options expiry. The Federal Reserve chair offered little encouragement to those looking for an early easing signal, while the derivatives settlement removed a sizeable block of open interest. Against that backdrop, one-week implied volatility fell sharply and slipped below seven-day realised volatility, leaving the surface steeper rather than uniformly cheaper.
Ether fell 3.15 per cent over the 24-hour window even as exchange-traded funds recorded $226mn of inflows, their strongest daily haul in ten months. Kevin Warsh’s inflation warning kept the broader policy backdrop restrictive. In options, one-week implied volatility fell 6.83 points to 46.04 per cent and remained below realised volatility across the 24-hour, seven-day and 30-day windows, while short-dated skew swung towards puts.
Front-end ATM IV led a broad increase, while RR25 shifted toward calls; 1W implied volatility remained below recent realised volatility.
Front-end ATM IV fell sharply, while relative put-side volatility increased modestly and implied volatility remained below seven-day realised volatility.
Front-end ATM IV rose most sharply, with 1W IV at 45.85% still below seven-day realised volatility; RR25 also moved towards calls.
ATM IV rose across the curve, led by a +3.59-point move at 2W, while RR25 shifted toward calls and 1W IV remained below seven-day realised volatility.
Front-end ATM volatility declined, while longer-dated volatility was broadly unchanged and RR25 moved slightly toward calls.
ATM volatility declined at both the front and long ends, while RR25 shifted modestly toward puts and 1W implied volatility remained below seven-day realised volatility.
Front-end ATM IV rose sharply, with 1W IV reaching 44.02%, close to seven-day realised volatility of 44.90% but well below the 24-hour rate of 74.18%;
Front-end ATM IV rose while long-dated IV eased;
Front-end ATM IV rose markedly, led by the 1W tenor, while longer-dated volatility increased more modestly and risk reversals moved toward calls.
Front-end ATM IV rose, led by the 1W tenor, while long-dated volatility was broadly unchanged and RR25 moved toward puts.
Front-end ATM IV fell, led by a 1W decline, while long-dated IV was broadly unchanged;
Front-end ATM IV declined, led by the 1W tenor, while long-dated IV was broadly unchanged and RR25 moved modestly toward calls.
BTC options repriced higher across maturities, led by a 1.98-point 2W ATM IV increase, while RR25 moved toward puts.
Front-end ATM IV fell 1.44 volatility points on average, led by a 2.11-point decline at 1W, while long-dated ATM IV was broadly unchanged and RR25 moved modestly toward calls.
Front-end ATM IV declined, led by a 1W drop, while longer-dated IV was broadly unchanged and RR25 shifted modestly toward calls.
BTC ATM volatility rose modestly at the front end, led by the 1M tenor, while long-dated ATM volatility, skew, and convexity were broadly unchanged.
Weekly research
4 reports
Bitcoin’s week was shaped by a renewed institutional bid, an abrupt change in the US rates narrative and a large derivatives expiry. Treasury plans for bigger bond buybacks helped weaken the dollar and revive the debasement trade, while strong ETF inflows carried Bitcoin through $80,000. Inflation data and Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole debut later restored some policy caution. The options market traced the same unsettled path: front-end volatility rose sharply, reversed just as quickly and ended the week 8.75 points lower at the one-week tenor.
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