Daily SOL options market report · 24-hour comparison

SOL front-end volatility falls as skew rotates lower

SOL saw the session’s most pronounced surface move among the major coins: 1W ATM IV fell 5.10 points and front-end IV declined 4.51 points on average. RR25 moved toward relative put-side volatility, while remaining call-rich, and near-term convexity fell. A report on cancelled SOL supply was available in the window, but reaction data are partial and do not establish causation for the broad compression.

Snapshot · 31 Aug 2026, 20:58 UTC

  • SOLSpot-index 24h -1.08%1W ATM IV 66.67%1W RR25 +1.11 vol pts1W BF25 +4.59 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable
  • SOL1W ATM IV 66.67%Spot-index 24h -1.08%
Full snapshot readings
  • SOLSpot-index 24h -1.08%1W ATM IV 66.67%1W RR25 +1.11 vol pts1W BF25 +4.59 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable

Combined market read · daily observation window

The move in context.

SOL spot-index return unavailable; 1W ATM IV fell 5.10 volatility points to 66.67% over the daily window. RR25 moved toward puts (-3.77 points); BF25 wing premium decreased (-1.05 points); partial native coverage (3/4 measurements).

One-week surface context; the published headline retains its original evidence basis. Cutoffs 30 Aug, 20:58 UTC to 31 Aug, 20:58 UTC.

Measured change since prior report

Prior comparison unavailable: the exact adjacent published edition could not be verified.

A structured watchlist was not recorded or could not be verified in the prior edition; this compares measured changes only.

Next daily cutoff: measurable checks

These checks are reconstructed from this edition’s stored endpoints; they were not recorded in the original report.

  • Hold the observed level: SOL 1W ATM IV ≤ 66.67 percent at . Current level 66.67; threshold is the current observed endpoint.
  • Full retrace: SOL 1W ATM IV ≥ 71.77 percent at . Current level 66.67; threshold is the previous observed endpoint.
Measurement basis and receipt

These are observed-level conditions for the next aligned cutoff, with no forecast or trade action. Spot uses exact index endpoints where available; ATM IV is quoted in percent and its change, RR25 and BF25 in volatility points. Derived from verified legacy artifact endpoints.

Canonical current report JSON · SHA-256 1a3ac70610b24ce30aefb3d98768c4ad703eb57e016dff123c2b978da11aa726

Consumed endpoint proof: 8f850af097ad2db26c3abeac80af73c84ed36240ba550602654a2510f8544334

  • SOL:atmIv:1W:observed-current-level: rows[asset=SOL].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.previous; rows[asset=SOL].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.current; rows[asset=SOL].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.change; evaluation window 2026-08-31T20:58:00+00:00 to 2026-09-01T20:58:00+00:00.
  • SOL:atmIv:1W:observed-previous-level: rows[asset=SOL].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.previous; rows[asset=SOL].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.current; rows[asset=SOL].report.tenors[tenor=1W].atmIv.change; evaluation window 2026-08-31T20:58:00+00:00 to 2026-09-01T20:58:00+00:00.

01 · Daily briefing

Macro · Crypto · Options

The day in markets.

SOL saw the session’s most pronounced surface move among the major coins: 1W ATM IV fell 5.10 points and front-end IV declined 4.51 points on average. RR25 moved toward relative put-side volatility, while remaining call-rich, and near-term convexity fell. A report on cancelled SOL supply was available in the window, but reaction data are partial and do not establish causation for the broad compression.

Links identify the underlying reporting for retained events; entries without a retained link are marked.

02 · Options market read

What the volatility surface did.

6 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at -5.10 volatility points, to 66.67%.

Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data

03 · Catalyst check

30 Aug 2026, 20:58 UTC to 31 Aug 2026, 20:58 UTC

Relevant context found; no confirmed catalyst

Relevant market event

1 relevant event was retained for the comparison window.

News collection was incomplete; the retained events do not establish full coverage.

Confidencelow causal confidence

News is presented as contextual association unless the structured evidence supports a stronger relationship.

04 · Detailed analysis

What changed across the SOL volatility surface.

Implied versus realised

At the 20:58 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 66.67%, 6.26 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 72.93%; 24-hour realised volatility was 67.99% and 30-day realised volatility was 62.68%.

Front end

Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -4.51 volatility points to 65.12% across 1W, 2W and 1M.

Long end

Long-dated ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.41 volatility points to 57.86% across 6M and 1Y.

Skew

RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -1.86 volatility points to 3.13 volatility points across the six available headline tenors.

Convexity

BF25 decreased, averaging -0.46 volatility points to 5.03 volatility points across the six available headline tenors.

Largest standard-tenor move

The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -5.10 volatility points at 1W, to 66.67%.

Universe roll: added 2SEP26; removed 31AUG26. Comparisons use common expiries only.

05 · Standard-tenor ranking

Largest surface events

01

Largest eligible smile rotation

4SEP26, -16.29 vol pts
02

Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move

1W, -5.10 vol pts
03

Largest standard-tenor RR25 move

1W, -3.77 vol pts
04

Largest standard-tenor BF25 move

2W, -1.34 vol pts
05

Largest eligible SVI rho move

25SEP26, -0.1625 param
06

Largest eligible SVI sigma move

25DEC26, +0.0859 param

06 · ATM volatility

Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.

TenorCurrent (vol %)Comparison snapshot (vol %)Change (vol pts)Relative change
1W66.6771.77-5.10 vol pts-7.11%
2W65.1169.67-4.56 vol pts-6.55%
1M63.5867.44-3.86 vol pts-5.72%
3M59.2660.56-1.30 vol pts-2.15%
6M58.1558.74-0.59 vol pts-1.00%
9M57.7758.12-0.35 vol pts-0.60%
1Y57.5857.81-0.23 vol pts-0.40%

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

07 · Risk reversals

RR25 skew moved most at 1W.

RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -1.86 volatility points to 3.13 volatility points across the six available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.

0.5 vol pts2.1 vol pts3.6 vol pts5.1 vol pts6.7 vol pts1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
TenorCurrent (vol pts)Comparison snapshot (vol pts)Change (vol pts)
1W1.114.88-3.77 vol pts
2W2.314.23-1.92 vol pts
1M3.366.09-2.73 vol pts
3M3.885.13-1.25 vol pts
6M4.014.87-0.86 vol pts
9M4.064.78-0.72 vol pts
1Y4.084.74-0.66 vol pts

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

08 · Butterflies

BF25 convexity changed most at 2W.

BF25 decreased, averaging -0.46 volatility points to 5.03 volatility points across the six available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.

4.3 vol pts4.7 vol pts5.2 vol pts5.6 vol pts6.0 vol pts1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
TenorCurrent (vol pts)Comparison snapshot (vol pts)Change (vol pts)
1W4.595.64-1.05 vol pts
2W4.515.85-1.34 vol pts
1M4.745.83-1.09 vol pts
3M5.325.31+0.01 vol pts
6M5.475.19+0.28 vol pts
9M5.545.14+0.40 vol pts
1Y5.565.12+0.44 vol pts

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

09 · Expiry effects

Near-settlement moves, shown with context.

Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.

0.5d

Smile rotation

1SEP26, -29.76 vol pts

10 · Volatility term structure

Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.

Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.

55.9%60.3%64.7%69.1%73.5%1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
ExpiryTime leftForward now (USD)Forward change (USD)ATM IV nowATM IV changeRR25 changeBF25 change
1SEP26Expiry effect0.5 days103.66-1.30 USD73.70%+2.22 vol pts-6.94 vol pts-2.24 vol pts
4SEP263.5 days103.67-1.29 USD70.98%-3.42 vol pts-7.50 vol pts-0.42 vol pts
11SEP2610.5 days103.67-1.29 USD65.22%-4.70 vol pts-1.60 vol pts-1.34 vol pts
25SEP2624.5 days103.85-1.17 USD64.97%-4.19 vol pts-3.13 vol pts-1.37 vol pts
25DEC26115.5 days103.78-1.19 USD58.79%-0.98 vol pts-1.09 vol pts+0.13 vol pts

11 · Smile movement

Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.

Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.

1SEP26rotation towards puts · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
4SEP26rotation towards puts · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
11SEP26parallel shift lower · rotation towards puts
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25SEP26parallel shift lower · rotation towards puts
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25DEC26rotation towards puts
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k

Surface movement heatmap

Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.

Completed-session cross-asset context

Crypto volatility against US equity risk.

SOL 30-day implied volatility was 4.7 times VIX, while its 30-session return correlation with SPX was low at 0.18.

Implied-volatility premium

SOL 30-day ATM IV was 67.60%, against VIX at 14.43: a 53.17-point spread and 4.68× ratio.

Realised-volatility regime

SOL reported crypto realised volatility was 69.20%, versus SPX reported realised volatility of 10.58%. The spread ranked at percentile rank 45.6% of 217 prior observations.

Equity co-movement

Return correlation with SPX was 0.183 over 30 aligned sessions and 0.433 over 60 sessions. VIX9D, VIX and VIX3M closed at 11.22, 14.43 and 17.48.

RV comparison basis unverified: this edition does not record the recognised provider methodology for both horizons and annualisation conventions. The displayed spread rank does not establish matched-horizon comparability.

As of 28 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC. Implied volatility and completed-session realised volatility use their respective observation windows shown above.

Evidence and methodology

Persisted common US session. SOL realised volatility is annualised on sqrt(365); SPX realised volatility is annualised on sqrt(252). Null IV percentiles are preserved because no eligible prior observations were available.

Evidence, source data and methodology
Report comparison baseline → current snapshot
2026-08-30 20:58:00 UTC → 2026-08-31 20:58:00 UTC

Changes use these stored market-snapshot baselines. The comparison baseline may differ from the snapshot used in the previous published edition.

Original report summary

SOL saw the session’s most pronounced surface move among the major coins: 1W ATM IV fell 5.10 points and front-end IV declined 4.51 points on average. RR25 moved toward relative put-side volatility, while remaining call-rich, and near-term convexity fell. A report on cancelled SOL supply was available in the window, but reaction data are partial and do not establish causation for the broad compression.

At report cutoff · Levels and stored endpoint changes

What matters now

Vol: SOL 1W ATM IV 66.67% · Δ -5.10 vol pts

Skew: SOL 1W RR25 1.11 vol pts · Δ -3.77 vol pts

Wings: SOL 1W BF25 4.59 vol pts · Δ -1.05 vol pts

Vol

SOL 1W ATM IV 66.67% · Δ -5.10 vol pts

Skew

SOL 1W RR25 1.11 vol pts · Δ -3.77 vol pts

Wings

SOL 1W BF25 4.59 vol pts · Δ -1.05 vol pts

IV versus RV

SOL Unavailable

Unavailable readings: SOL IV versus RV. See the report’s data availability notes.

Δ compares the report’s stored surface endpoints. IV versus RV is a level comparison, not a daily change.

12 · Technical appendix

Model parameters and normalized Greeks.

These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.

Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks

SVI diagnostics

Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.

Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 25SEP26; the largest sigma change occurred at 25DEC26.

ExpiryΔ aΔ bΔ rhoΔ mΔ sigmaSmile classification
1SEP26+0.02210-0.05580-0.15020-0.05960+0.02810rotation towards puts, wing steepening
4SEP26+0.00870-0.00350-0.12100-0.03200-0.03660rotation towards puts, wing steepening
11SEP26-0.01180+0.00010-0.13270-0.08290+0.05980parallel shift lower, rotation towards puts
25SEP26-0.01450+0.00500-0.16250-0.08170+0.05460parallel shift lower, rotation towards puts
25DEC26-0.04820+0.02250+0.05770+0.05610+0.08590rotation towards puts

Current surface characteristics

Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.

These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-SOL ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.

Highest Vega25DEC26, 0.229698 USD / vol pt
Highest Gamma1SEP26, 0.147126 1 / USD
Highest Theta Decay1SEP26, -1.176318 USD / day
Highest Vanna25DEC26, 0.001107 delta / vol pt
Highest Volga25DEC26, -0.010679 USD / vol pt²

7D realised volatility · data quality

AssetRecorded RVStatusCoverage / requiredLongest gap / maximum
SOLUnavailableUnavailablenot recorded / not recorded requirednot recorded / not recorded maximum

Thresholds are asset-specific policies recorded in this edition. Each window is assessed independently; returns spanning gaps are excluded. Partial estimates may miss volatility during gaps.

RV coverage and methodology

SOL · Unavailable · Surface cutoff 31 Aug 2026, 20:58:00 UTC · 7D coverage not recorded / not recorded required · largest 7D gap not recorded / not recorded maximum · maximum gap not recorded. RV suppressed — valid 7D coverage was not recorded. Full 7D coverage policy was not recorded.

Source data JSON

13 · Methodology and provenance

Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.

Current snapshot
31 Aug 2026, 20:58 UTC
Comparison snapshot
30 Aug 2026, 20:58 UTC
Source
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical SOL index databases
Realised volatility
Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical SOL-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot.
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are interpolated independently at 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 9M and 1Y; headline rankings prioritise 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-SOL ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
Catalyst policy
Only sufficiently relevant, reliably sourced events are shown; otherwise no catalyst is assigned.

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