Daily SOL options market report · 24-hour comparison
SOL one-week volatility collapses across the curve
SOL 1W ATM IV fell 10.73 volatility points to 55.40%, an exceptional move at the 100th percentile. SOL front-end ATM IV fell 9.62 volatility points to 55.37%, while SOL long-dated ATM IV fell 3.93 volatility points to 54.88%. The 1Y-minus-1W ATM IV slope became less inverted by 7.02 volatility points to -0.54 volatility points.
SOLSpot-index 24h -3.66%1W ATM IV 55.40%1W RR25 -0.50 vol pts1W BF25 +3.16 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable
SOL1W ATM IV 55.40%Spot-index 24h -3.66%
Full snapshot readings
SOLSpot-index 24h -3.66%1W ATM IV 55.40%1W RR25 -0.50 vol pts1W BF25 +3.16 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable
Combined market read · daily observation window
The move in context.
Combined market read unavailable: the native comparison endpoints are incomplete or misaligned.
One-week surface context; the published headline retains its original evidence basis. Cutoffs 31 Aug, 22:28 UTC to 1 Sept, 22:27 UTC.
Measured change since prior report
Prior comparison unavailable: matching asset, cadence and adjacent observation endpoints were not verified.
A structured watchlist was not recorded or could not be verified in the prior edition; prior-watch outcomes remain unavailable.
Next daily cutoff: measurable checks
These checks are reconstructed from this edition’s stored endpoints; they were not recorded in the original report.
Measurable watch unavailable: no valid nonzero surface move has comparable endpoints.
Measurement basis and receipt
These are observed-level conditions for the next aligned cutoff, with no forecast or trade action. Spot uses exact index endpoints where available; ATM IV is quoted in percent and its change, RR25 and BF25 in volatility points. Derived from verified legacy artifact endpoints.
Smile rotation is the fitted IV change at +0.15 log-moneyness minus the change at −0.15, in volatility points. A positive reading indicates a relative shift toward the call side.
SOL volatility reprices sharply lower
SOL’s 1W ATM IV declined exceptionally as the curve moved materially less inverted.
Macro
No qualifying macro event was retained for this window.
Crypto
A Solana treasury financing report was retained, but the completed reaction windows cannot prove causation.
Links identify the underlying reporting for retained events; entries without a retained link are marked.
02 · Options market read
What the volatility surface did.
6 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at -10.73 volatility points, to 55.40%.
Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data
03 · Catalyst check
31 Aug 2026, 22:28 UTC to 01 Sept 2026, 22:27 UTC
News context unavailable.
News context unavailable because source coverage was incomplete.
04 · Detailed analysis
What changed across the SOL volatility surface.
Implied versus realised
At the 22:27 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 55.40%, 11.40 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 66.80%; 24-hour realised volatility was 55.72% and 30-day realised volatility was 63.28%.
Front end
Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -9.62 volatility points to 55.37% across 1W, 2W and 1M.
Long end
Long-dated ATM IV decreased, averaging -3.93 volatility points to 54.88% across 6M and 1Y.
Skew
RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -1.74 volatility points to 1.61 volatility points across the six available headline tenors.
Convexity
BF25 decreased, averaging -0.35 volatility points to 4.61 volatility points across the six available headline tenors.
Largest standard-tenor move
The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -10.73 volatility points at 1W, to 55.40%.
Universe roll: added 3SEP26; removed 1SEP26. Comparisons use common expiries only.
RR25 moved towards puts, averaging -1.74 volatility points to 1.61 volatility points across the six available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.
BF25 decreased, averaging -0.35 volatility points to 4.61 volatility points across the six available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.
Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
0.4d
Smile rotation
2SEP26, +16.19 vol pts
10 · Volatility term structure
Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.
Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.
CurrentComparison snapshot
Expiry
Time left
Forward now (USD)
Forward change (USD)
ATM IV now
ATM IV change
RR25 change
BF25 change
2SEP26Expiry effect
0.4 days
99.53
-3.79 USD
57.34%
-12.60 vol pts
+4.81 vol pts
-4.33 vol pts
4SEP26
2.4 days
99.53
-3.79 USD
57.28%
-11.80 vol pts
-0.44 vol pts
-1.18 vol pts
11SEP26
9.4 days
99.53
-3.81 USD
55.15%
-10.04 vol pts
-2.58 vol pts
-1.44 vol pts
25SEP26
23.4 days
99.59
-3.93 USD
55.51%
-9.46 vol pts
-3.43 vol pts
-0.53 vol pts
25DEC26
114.4 days
100.03
-3.93 USD
54.96%
-4.65 vol pts
-1.12 vol pts
+0.16 vol pts
11 · Smile movement
Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.
Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.
2SEP26rotation towards calls · wing flattening4SEP26wing steepening11SEP26parallel shift lower · rotation towards puts25SEP26parallel shift lower · rotation towards puts · wing steepening25DEC26parallel shift lower · rotation towards puts
Surface movement heatmap
Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.
IV lowerIV higher
2SEP26
4SEP26
11SEP26
25SEP26
25DEC26
-0.30kATM+0.30k
Completed-session cross-asset context
Crypto volatility against US equity risk.
SOL 30-day implied volatility was 4.3 times VIX, while its 30-session return correlation with SPX was low at 0.20.
Implied-volatility premium
SOL 30-day ATM IV was 64.53%, against VIX at 14.92: a 49.61-point spread and 4.33× ratio.
Realised-volatility regime
SOL reported crypto realised volatility was 69.51%, versus SPX reported realised volatility of 9.47%. The spread ranked at percentile rank 47.2% of 218 prior observations.
Equity co-movement
Return correlation with SPX was 0.198 over 30 aligned sessions and 0.447 over 60 sessions. VIX9D, VIX and VIX3M closed at 12.34, 14.92 and 17.53.
RV comparison basis unverified: this edition does not record the recognised provider methodology for both horizons and annualisation conventions. The displayed spread rank does not establish matched-horizon comparability.
As of 31 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC. Implied volatility and completed-session realised volatility use their respective observation windows shown above.
Evidence and methodology
Crypto realised volatility uses sqrt(365); SPX realised volatility uses sqrt(252), so the annualisation clocks differ.
Evidence, source data and methodology
Report comparison baseline → current snapshot
2026-08-31 22:28:00 UTC → 2026-09-01 22:27:00 UTC
Changes use these stored market-snapshot baselines. The comparison baseline may differ from the snapshot used in the previous published edition.
Original report summary
SOL 1W ATM IV fell 10.73 volatility points to 55.40%, an exceptional move at the 100th percentile. SOL front-end ATM IV fell 9.62 volatility points to 55.37%, while SOL long-dated ATM IV fell 3.93 volatility points to 54.88%. The 1Y-minus-1W ATM IV slope became less inverted by 7.02 volatility points to -0.54 volatility points.
At report cutoff · Levels and stored endpoint changes
What matters now
Vol: SOL 1W ATM IV 55.40% · Δ -10.73 vol pts
Skew: SOL 1W RR25 -0.50 vol pts · Δ -1.90 vol pts
Wings: SOL 1W BF25 3.16 vol pts · Δ -1.46 vol pts
Vol
SOL 1W ATM IV 55.40% · Δ -10.73 vol pts
Skew
SOL 1W RR25 -0.50 vol pts · Δ -1.90 vol pts
Wings
SOL 1W BF25 3.16 vol pts · Δ -1.46 vol pts
IV versus RV
SOL Unavailable
Unavailable readings: SOL IV versus RV. See the report’s data availability notes.
Δ compares the report’s stored surface endpoints. IV versus RV is a level comparison, not a daily change.
12 · Technical appendix
Model parameters and normalized Greeks.
These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.
Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks
SVI diagnostics
Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.
Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 4SEP26; the largest sigma change occurred at 25DEC26.
Expiry
Δ a
Δ b
Δ rho
Δ m
Δ sigma
Smile classification
2SEP26
+0.06610
-0.12940
+0.17480
+0.07990
+0.00130
rotation towards calls, wing flattening
4SEP26
+0.04310
-0.05730
+0.13850
+0.08720
-0.12470
wing steepening
11SEP26
+0.03410
-0.05890
+0.10960
+0.09570
-0.04490
parallel shift lower, rotation towards puts
25SEP26
+0.03660
-0.05180
+0.06560
+0.10070
-0.13190
parallel shift lower, rotation towards puts, wing steepening
25DEC26
+0.11910
-0.09250
+0.09440
+0.11620
-0.29160
parallel shift lower, rotation towards puts
Current surface characteristics
Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.
These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-SOL ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.
Thresholds are asset-specific policies recorded in this edition. Each window is assessed independently; returns spanning gaps are excluded. Partial estimates may miss volatility during gaps.
RV coverage and methodology
SOL · Unavailable · Surface cutoff 01 Sept 2026, 22:27:00 UTC · 7D coverage not recorded / not recorded required · largest 7D gap not recorded / not recorded maximum · maximum gap not recorded. RV suppressed — valid 7D coverage was not recorded. Full 7D coverage policy was not recorded.
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical SOL index databases
Realised volatility
Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical SOL-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot.
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are interpolated independently at 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 9M and 1Y; headline rankings prioritise 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-SOL ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV
Catalyst policy
Only sufficiently relevant, reliably sourced events are shown; otherwise no catalyst is assigned.
