Daily SOL options market report · 24-hour comparison

Solana gained while its options surface softened

Solana rose 0.87 per cent over the 24-hour window even as one-week implied volatility fell 1.58 points and call-relative skew strengthened. The broader backdrop remained cautious after renewed inflation warnings, while a contained exploit involving an outdated Solana contract affected 1,685 Rain card users; neither event provides a sufficiently direct explanation for the options repricing.

Snapshot · 29 Aug 2026, 18:14 UTC

  • SOLSpot-index 24h +0.87%1W ATM IV 71.20%1W RR25 +3.38 vol pts1W BF25 +4.88 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable
  • SOL1W ATM IV 71.20%Spot-index 24h +0.87%
Full snapshot readings
  • SOLSpot-index 24h +0.87%1W ATM IV 71.20%1W RR25 +3.38 vol pts1W BF25 +4.88 vol pts1W IV − 7D RV Unavailable

01 · Daily briefing

Macro · Crypto · Options

The day in markets.

Solana rose 0.87 per cent over the 24-hour window even as one-week implied volatility fell 1.58 points and call-relative skew strengthened. The broader backdrop remained cautious after renewed inflation warnings, while a contained exploit involving an outdated Solana contract affected 1,685 Rain card users; neither event provides a sufficiently direct explanation for the options repricing.

Solana gained while its options surface softened

SOL advanced over the session, but implied volatility declined across the standard-tenor curve and the one-week risk reversal moved further towards calls.

Macro

Renewed warnings that inflation remained too hot kept tighter Federal Reserve policy in the market conversation.

Crypto

A Rain card contract exploit affected 1,685 users before the companies said customers would be made whole.

Links identify the underlying reporting for retained events; entries without a retained link are marked.

02 · Options market read

What the volatility surface did.

6 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1M at -2.13 volatility points, to 66.24%.

Derived directly from structured Derivasys surface data

03 · Catalyst check

News context unavailable.

News context was not collected.

04 · Detailed analysis

What changed across the SOL volatility surface.

Implied versus realised

At the 18:14 UTC cutoff, 1W ATM IV was 71.20%, 9.53 volatility points below seven-day realised volatility of 80.73%; 24-hour realised volatility was 45.34% and 30-day realised volatility was 61.55%.

Front end

Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -1.85 volatility points to 69.21% across 1W, 2W and 1M.

Long end

Long-dated ATM IV decreased, averaging -0.84 volatility points to 59.36% across 6M and 1Y.

Skew

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.93 volatility points to 3.49 volatility points across the six available headline tenors.

Convexity

BF25 decreased, averaging -0.27 volatility points to 5.21 volatility points across the six available headline tenors.

Largest standard-tenor move

The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -2.13 volatility points at 1M, to 66.24%.

Universe roll: added 31AUG26; removed 29AUG26. Comparisons use common expiries only.

05 · Standard-tenor ranking

Largest surface events

01

Largest eligible smile rotation

4SEP26, +5.05 vol pts
02

Largest standard-tenor ATM IV move

1M, -2.13 vol pts
03

Largest standard-tenor RR25 move

1W, +1.79 vol pts
04

Largest standard-tenor BF25 move

1M, -1.15 vol pts
05

Largest eligible SVI sigma move

25DEC26, +0.2713 param
06

Largest eligible SVI rho move

25DEC26, +0.1828 param

06 · ATM volatility

Standard-tenor ATM implied volatility.

TenorCurrent (vol %)Comparison snapshot (vol %)Change (vol pts)Relative change
1W71.2072.78-1.58 vol pts-2.17%
2W70.2072.05-1.85 vol pts-2.57%
1M66.2468.37-2.13 vol pts-3.12%
3M61.0462.22-1.18 vol pts-1.90%
6M59.7060.61-0.91 vol pts-1.50%
9M59.2460.07-0.83 vol pts-1.38%
1Y59.0159.79-0.78 vol pts-1.30%

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

07 · Risk reversals

RR25 skew moved most at 1W.

RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.93 volatility points to 3.49 volatility points across the six available headline tenors. Negative RR25 denotes a richer 25-delta put wing under the call-minus-put convention.

0.2 vol pts1.4 vol pts2.6 vol pts3.9 vol pts5.1 vol pts1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
TenorCurrent (vol pts)Comparison snapshot (vol pts)Change (vol pts)
1W3.381.59+1.79 vol pts
2W2.821.46+1.36 vol pts
1M1.920.65+1.27 vol pts
3M3.833.26+0.57 vol pts
6M4.353.98+0.37 vol pts
9M4.534.25+0.28 vol pts
1Y4.624.38+0.24 vol pts

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

08 · Butterflies

BF25 convexity changed most at 1M.

BF25 decreased, averaging -0.27 volatility points to 5.21 volatility points across the six available headline tenors. BF25 measures the average 25-delta wing premium over ATM IV.

3.9 vol pts4.8 vol pts5.7 vol pts6.6 vol pts7.5 vol pts1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
TenorCurrent (vol pts)Comparison snapshot (vol pts)Change (vol pts)
1W4.885.67-0.79 vol pts
2W6.127.18-1.06 vol pts
1M5.206.35-1.15 vol pts
3M5.074.90+0.17 vol pts
6M5.014.50+0.51 vol pts
9M5.014.35+0.66 vol pts
1Y5.004.28+0.72 vol pts

Source: Derivasys Research — structured data

09 · Expiry effects

Near-settlement moves, shown with context.

Contracts with fewer than 2 full days to expiry remain in the tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.

0.6d

Smile rotation

30AUG26, +37.61 vol pts

10 · Volatility term structure

Today against the previous 24-hour snapshot.

Only fixed tenors bracketed by listed expiries at both snapshots are charted. The listed-expiry table preserves the observable exchange maturities underneath those interpolated points.

57.4%61.6%65.9%70.2%74.4%1W2W1M3M6M9M1Y
ExpiryTime leftForward now (USD)Forward change (USD)ATM IV nowATM IV changeRR25 changeBF25 change
30AUG26Expiry effect0.6 days104.86+0.90 USD55.01%-12.75 vol pts+7.51 vol pts+0.79 vol pts
4SEP265.6 days104.86+0.90 USD71.38%-1.47 vol pts+1.93 vol pts-1.43 vol pts
11SEP2612.6 days104.86+0.90 USD70.90%-1.33 vol pts+1.57 vol pts-0.91 vol pts
25SEP2626.6 days104.98+0.79 USD67.19%-1.95 vol pts+1.24 vol pts-1.28 vol pts
25DEC26117.6 days105.01+0.92 USD60.44%-1.04 vol pts+0.47 vol pts+0.33 vol pts

11 · Smile movement

Reconstructed SVI smiles for every common expiry.

Each overlay uses the stored five-parameter SVI fit and the snapshot-specific time to expiry. Ultra-short expiries are displayed but do not determine the headline ranking.

30AUG26rotation towards calls · wing steepening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
4SEP26rotation towards calls · wing flattening
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
11SEP26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25SEP26rotation towards calls
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k
25DEC26parallel shift lower
-0.30k0.00k+0.30k

Surface movement heatmap

Each cell is the fitted IV change in volatility points. Rows are listed expiries; columns run from the put wing through ATM to the call wing.

Evidence, source data and methodology
Report comparison baseline → current snapshot
2026-08-28 18:14:00 UTC → 2026-08-29 18:14:00 UTC

Changes use these stored market-snapshot baselines. The comparison baseline may differ from the snapshot used in the previous published edition.

Original report summary

Solana rose 0.87 per cent over the 24-hour window even as one-week implied volatility fell 1.58 points and call-relative skew strengthened. The broader backdrop remained cautious after renewed inflation warnings, while a contained exploit involving an outdated Solana contract affected 1,685 Rain card users; neither event provides a sufficiently direct explanation for the options repricing.

At report cutoff · Levels and stored endpoint changes

What matters now

Vol: SOL 1W ATM IV 71.20% · Δ -1.58 vol pts

Skew: SOL 1W RR25 3.38 vol pts · Δ +1.79 vol pts

Wings: SOL 1W BF25 4.88 vol pts · Δ -0.79 vol pts

Vol

SOL 1W ATM IV 71.20% · Δ -1.58 vol pts

Skew

SOL 1W RR25 3.38 vol pts · Δ +1.79 vol pts

Wings

SOL 1W BF25 4.88 vol pts · Δ -0.79 vol pts

IV versus RV

SOL Unavailable

Unavailable readings: SOL IV versus RV. See the report’s data availability notes.

Δ compares the report’s stored surface endpoints. IV versus RV is a level comparison, not a daily change.

12 · Technical appendix

Model parameters and normalized Greeks.

These diagnostics preserve the fitted-surface audit trail without competing with the main market story.

Show SVI parameter changes and normalized Greeks

SVI diagnostics

Daily movement in a, b, rho, m and sigma.

Among ranking-eligible expiries, the largest absolute rho change occurred at 25DEC26; the largest sigma change occurred at 25DEC26.

ExpiryΔ aΔ bΔ rhoΔ mΔ sigmaSmile classification
30AUG26+0.04620+0.00950+0.07500-0.11500-1.90150rotation towards calls, wing steepening
4SEP26-0.03700+0.01460+0.04250-0.00930+0.20170rotation towards calls, wing flattening
11SEP26-0.02370+0.01980+0.07670+0.01060+0.10240rotation towards calls
25SEP26-0.02890+0.01680-0.08340-0.05740+0.12350rotation towards calls
25DEC26-0.11020+0.05980+0.18280+0.05800+0.27130parallel shift lower

Current surface characteristics

Where normalized model Greek intensity is highest.

These are comparable Black-forward Greeks for a one-SOL ATM-forward call at each listed expiry—not portfolio exposure, open interest or a prediction of dealer positioning.

Highest Vega25DEC26, 0.234294 USD / vol pt
Highest Gamma30AUG26, 0.174449 1 / USD
Highest Theta Decay30AUG26, -0.795149 USD / day
Highest Vanna25DEC26, 0.001116 delta / vol pt
Highest Volga25DEC26, -0.011404 USD / vol pt²

7D realised volatility · data quality

AssetRecorded RVStatusCoverage / requiredLongest gap / maximum
SOLUnavailableUnavailablenot recorded / not recorded requirednot recorded / not recorded maximum

Thresholds are asset-specific policies recorded in this edition. Each window is assessed independently; returns spanning gaps are excluded. Partial estimates may miss volatility during gaps.

RV coverage and methodology

SOL · Unavailable · Surface cutoff 29 Aug 2026, 18:14:00 UTC · 7D coverage not recorded / not recorded required · largest 7D gap not recorded / not recorded maximum · maximum gap not recorded. RV suppressed — valid 7D coverage was not recorded. Full 7D coverage policy was not recorded.

Source data JSON

13 · Methodology and provenance

Generated from measured Derivasys surface data.

Current snapshot
29 Aug 2026, 18:14 UTC
Comparison snapshot
28 Aug 2026, 18:14 UTC
Source
Derivasys proprietary historical SVI surface and canonical SOL index databases
Realised volatility
Annualised root-mean-square of one-minute canonical SOL-USD index log returns using a 365-day basis; all windows end at the current snapshot.
Comparison window
Nearest successful surface snapshots approximately 24 hours apart
RR convention
25-delta call IV minus 25-delta put IV
BF convention
Average 25-delta wing IV minus ATM forward IV
Fixed tenors
Fixed-tenor measures are interpolated independently at 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 9M and 1Y; headline rankings prioritise 1W, 2W, 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y.
Smile reconstruction
Listed-expiry smiles are reconstructed from stored SVI total-variance parameters on a fixed log-moneyness grid.
Ultra-short expiries
Expiries with fewer than 2 full days remaining stay in detailed tables but are excluded from headline rankings. Settlement proximity, time decay, changing liquidity and fewer quotes can exaggerate their changes.
Greek normalization
Black forward Greeks for a normalized one-SOL ATM-forward call, zero rate, fitted SVI IV

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