01 · Daily briefing
Macro · Crypto · OptionsThe day in markets.
Kraken posts deposit update amid hormuz coverage
Kraken described delays with Ethereum deposits, while outlets reported the rejection of a proposal concerning the Strait of Hormuz.
Macro
Al Jazeera reported the rejection of Tehran’s proposal, submitted via Qatar, to reopen the strait and resume nuclear talks within a week if Washington agreed.
Crypto
Kraken’s status notice identified a delay affecting Ethereum ERC-20 deposits and later said a fix had been implemented while results were being monitored.
Links identify the underlying reporting for retained events; entries without a retained link are marked.
02 · Options market read
What the volatility surface did.
5 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at +1.66 volatility points, to 40.91%.
RV observation windows
The 24-hour, seven-day and 30-day RV windows are assessed independently using observed one-minute index returns, annualised on a 365-day basis. Recorded minimums: at least 99.5% coverage over 24 hours, 99.5% coverage over seven days, 99.5% coverage over 30 days, with no gap longer than 60 minutes. Returns spanning gaps are excluded, not interpolated; unavailable windows remain unreported. The exact 24-hour spot return requires prices at both endpoints.
03 · Catalyst check
25 Sept 2026, 18:31 UTC to 26 Sept 2026, 18:31 UTCRelevant context found; no confirmed catalyst
Relevant market events
2 relevant events were retained for the comparison window.
News is presented as contextual association unless the structured evidence supports a stronger relationship.
04 · Detailed analysis
What changed across the ETH volatility surface.
Front-end ATM IV increased, averaging +0.98 volatility points to 43.93% across 1W, 2W and 1M.
Six-month ATM IV was broadly unchanged at 53.71% (-0.17 volatility points); 1Y was unavailable.
RR25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.10 volatility points to -0.48 volatility points across the five available headline tenors.
BF25 was broadly unchanged, averaging +0.01 volatility points to 2.62 volatility points across the five available headline tenors.
The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was +1.66 volatility points at 1W, to 40.91%.
Universe roll: added 30SEP26; removed 26SEP26. Comparisons use common expiries only.