01 · Daily briefing
Macro · Crypto · OptionsThe day in markets.
Ether one-week ATM implied volatility drops 4.28 points to 37.63%
Between the October 1 and October 2 snapshots at 16:30 UTC, Ether one-week ATM implied volatility fell 4.28 volatility points to 37.63%, according to Derivasys data. Ether one-week ATM implied volatility stood at 41.91% at the October 1 snapshot. Ether one-week ATM implied volatility's latest level ranked at the 2.1 percentile of its historical comparison.
Macro
No qualifying macro event was retained for this report window.
Crypto
Cointelegraph reported a third consecutive day of net outflows from Ether funds, while Bitcoin ETFs returned to inflows of $103 million. These flows provide market context; the reporting does not establish a cause for Ether's options volatility decline.
Links identify the underlying reporting for retained events; entries without a retained link are marked.
02 · Options market read
What the volatility surface did.
5 of 6 headline tenors were comparable at both endpoints. The largest ATM IV move was 1W at -4.28 volatility points, to 37.63%.
RV observation windows
The 24-hour, seven-day and 30-day RV windows are assessed independently using observed one-minute index returns, annualised on a 365-day basis. Recorded minimums: at least 99.5% coverage over 24 hours, 99.5% coverage over seven days, 99.5% coverage over 30 days, with no gap longer than 60 minutes. Returns spanning gaps are excluded, not interpolated; unavailable windows remain unreported. The exact 24-hour spot return requires prices at both endpoints.
03 · Catalyst check
01 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC to 02 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTCRelevant context found; no confirmed catalyst
Relevant market event
1 relevant event was retained for the comparison window.
News is presented as contextual association unless the structured evidence supports a stronger relationship.
04 · Detailed analysis
What changed across the ETH volatility surface.
Front-end ATM IV decreased, averaging -2.69 volatility points to 41.94% across 1W, 2W and 1M.
Six-month ATM IV was broadly unchanged at 53.02% (-0.33 volatility points); 1Y was unavailable.
RR25 moved towards calls, averaging +0.87 volatility points to -0.44 volatility points across the five available headline tenors.
BF25 decreased, averaging -0.22 volatility points to 2.84 volatility points across the five available headline tenors.
The largest standard-tenor ATM IV move was -4.28 volatility points at 1W, to 37.63%.
Universe roll: added 6OCT26; removed 2OCT26. Comparisons use common expiries only.